Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge ROC 2023

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 11:45 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 88%
2 HARE John R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 62%
3 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
5 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 7%
6 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
7 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 29%
8 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
9 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
10 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 15% 1%
11 KATZ Ryan 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
12 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
13 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 96% 65% 25% 4% -
14 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
15 RYAN Kai 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
16 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
17 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2% -
18 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 2%
19 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
20 MANESCU Miron 100% 96% 72% 28% 2% -
21 MATTOO Surya 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
22 BHATIA Ekam 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
23 HUROWITZ Max 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16% 1%
24 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
25 CHENG Hong 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
26 MONTALVO ashur 100% 82% 37% 8% 1% -
27 KOGAN Nikita 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
28 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
29 YEUNG Jerry 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% - -
30 POSY Daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% -
31 AMES Kylan 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
32 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% - -
33 PODDAR Shameek 100% 89% 47% 11% - -
34 TAUB Dylan 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
35 SEN Christian 100% 97% 74% 29% 2% -
36 XU Justin 100% 93% 48% 12% 1% - -
37 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 27% 3% - - -
38 SHU Richard 100% 25% 2% - - - -
39 FENG Luke 100% 58% 16% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.