2018 Falcon Open

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 12:30 PM

USAFA Cadet Gymnasium, Center Gym - Colorado Springs, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRAMER Jack P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 42%
2 BOGERT Alexander BRYCE (Bryce) 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
3 NIEBERGALL Colin G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 33%
3 GASPAROVICH IV George M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 18%
5 ALAIMO Charles 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 5%
6 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 YUNG Zheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
8 WESTEN Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% -
9 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
10 BRANDRETH Garret 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 4%
11 ZONE Liam 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
12 KAJI Ty 100% 96% 59% 15% 1% -
13 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
14 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
15 MILLETT Seamus T. 100% 100% 93% 63% 16% 1%
16 ALLISON John J. 100% 38% 6% - - -
17 MAURER Chip (Charles) P. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
18 SMITH Jackson 100% 99% 92% 60% 21% 3%
19 KWON Timothy 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
20 SOLTER Kai 100% 96% 67% 21% 2% -
21 GRAY Joshua 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
23 ZHOU Jiasheng 100% 68% 23% 4% - -
24 FOWLER Henry 100% 95% 49% 9% 1% -
25 KRAMER Liam W. 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% 1%
26 STEPHEN Nicholas R. 100% 96% 71% 31% 6% -
27 MAYFIELD Aaron 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
28 COFFEY Jacob 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 2%
29 PJESKY Marshall A. 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
30 EBELL Ivan D. 100% 75% 28% 4% - -
31 DE JONG Titus 100% 34% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.