TFC April Fence-A-Thon

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 3:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZAYDMAN David M. - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
2 SMAY II Joseph E. - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
3 WANG Xu-Chen 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
3 NG Biwon 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
5 WILLIAMS Derek - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
6 LI Ethan R. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
7 LOMIO Nicholas A. 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
8 SIM Ian 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
9 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 9% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
10 CHILDS Addison 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
11 TONG Samuel - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
12 KOERBER Christopher T. - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
13 NGUYEN Peyton 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
14 JAIN Samyak - 4% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
15 KUO Michael 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
16 LI Yunji 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1%
17 SALISTRA Emilia 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1% -
18 MYERS Cal 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
19 SIMONI James (Jim) V. 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.