California State High School Fencing Championships

Men's High School Epee

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Chaminade College Preparatory High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
3 MARCHETTI Ludovico 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
5 WARD Edward 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
6 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 3%
7 WANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
8 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
9 POSSON Luke 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
10 RAMOS Russell K. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
11 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
12 STAFFORD Michael 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 2% -
13 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
14 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
15 NOURAFCHAN Jonah 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
16 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
17 JU Hanul 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
18 TRIM Joshua 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
19 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
20 PEÑA Ethan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
21 KIM Tristan 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
22 BELLASARIAN Benjamin 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
23 MORTON Joshua 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
24 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
25 BOTYANSZKI Balint 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
26 NA Rongtian 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
27 RAINS Jackson T. 100% 97% 77% 34% 7% -
28 PAINTER Noah 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
29 LUNDE Drew 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
30 JUAREZ Semaje 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
31 KOENIG Caleb 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
32 TAKU Mike 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
33 BISSADA Matthew 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
34 GAINSLEY Isaac 100% 76% 30% 6% - -
35 NASATIR Serafin 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
36 COONEY LEBANO Gideon 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
37 GARCIA Sebastian 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.