USA Fencing Salt Lake City SJCC Tournament

Junior Women's Foil

Friday, December 13, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	JACOB Lena	-	-	-	2%	11%	39%	49%
2	JING Emily	-	-	2%	11%	32%	39%	17%
3	CHO Cameron S.	2%	15%	34%	32%	14%	3%	-
3	HOOSHI Erica S.	-	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
5	GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa	2%	11%	28%	34%	21%	5%
6	KHOO Lauren A.	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%
7	DAVIA Daniella V.	-	4%	17%	34%	33%	12%
8	LEE Bethany W.	6%	25%	36%	25%	8%	1%
9	LEE Alina	-	-	1%	8%	26%	40%	23%
10	VOHRA Anusha	15%	36%	32%	13%	3%	-	-
11	IBEN Claire L.	1%	9%	27%	36%	22%	5%
12	SOOD Ishani S.	2%	10%	27%	34%	21%	5%
13	LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy)	-	6%	24%	39%	25%	5%
14	RASO Sofia G.	1%	9%	25%	35%	24%	6%
15	LEE Paulina	-	2%	9%	26%	36%	22%	5%
16	KOROL Dana	3%	21%	37%	28%	9%	1%
17	SHEN Sophia H.	-	1%	6%	20%	35%	30%	9%
18	TAKAMIZAWA Yukari	-	1%	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
19	YAMAGUCHI Kate M.	-	1%	9%	28%	41%	21%
20	SEAL Grace (Gracie) C.	1%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
21	GUERRA Sofia E.	1%	7%	26%	37%	23%	6%	-
22	CAO Arianna L.	-	1%	6%	24%	43%	26%
23	KIM Katherine	2%	17%	36%	31%	12%	2%
24	CHO Taylor S.	5%	30%	40%	21%	4%	-
25	YHIP Mikaela M.	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
26	FAN Elaine	4%	24%	40%	25%	7%	1%
27	JING Alexandra	-	-	4%	18%	39%	32%	6%
28	CHEN Nicole Y.	-	2%	12%	31%	36%	17%	2%
29	MILLER Naomi E.	3%	14%	31%	32%	17%	3%
30	CASTANEDA Erika L.	-	1%	11%	33%	40%	15%
31	KIM Elisabeth (Gracie)	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	7%
32	LOCKE Savannah	-	5%	21%	37%	27%	9%	1%
33	DUAN Konnie	1%	12%	33%	35%	16%	3%	-
34	PENTSAKOV Margaret	27%	44%	23%	5%	1%	-	-
35	UPTON Elizabeth	2%	13%	30%	33%	18%	4%	-
36	PENG Amber L.	13%	33%	33%	17%	4%	-
37	LOW Sharon J.	4%	19%	34%	29%	12%	2%
38	HO Rachel E.	27%	41%	24%	7%	1%	-
39	YOUNG Audrey S.	53%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
40	HOLLAND Naomi	19%	48%	26%	6%	1%	-	-
41	PRIETO Sofia M.	6%	24%	35%	24%	8%	1%	-
42	HEISER Anna M.	49%	38%	11%	1%	-	-
43	WANG Catherine K.	22%	43%	27%	7%	1%	-	-
44	YEN Natalie	7%	26%	35%	23%	7%	1%	-
45	ZAMELIS Madelyn	30%	44%	22%	4%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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