The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Buckie Leach RYC & Non-Regional Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 4:00 PM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SPEARS Mya B - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
2 DAMBAL Sasha - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19%
3 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - - 6% 45% 49%
3 HU Anna - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 MYAT Chloe - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
6 KWON Ava - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
7 GUGALA Hanna - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
8 SHEN Emily - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
9 KHOST Maeve - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
10 YERENKOVA Ameliia 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
11 PROBASCO Leila - - 4% 22% 45% 29%
12 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
13 KOHLBERGER Noelle - - - - 9% 54% 36%
14 LOO Kaitlyn - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
15 GONZALEZ Veronika - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
16 LEIGH Adalene 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
17 CROOKS Riley 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 1%
18 TA-ZHOU Emma - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
19 BAIREDDY Maya - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
20 SHMULER Fiona - 5% 24% 42% 24% 4%
21 KIM Audrey 3% 21% 44% 27% 6% -
22 IANNUZZI Lucy - 1% 10% 36% 45% 8% -
22 UEMOTO Lynn 3% 14% 29% 30% 18% 6% 1%
24 KWON Ava - 6% 27% 45% 20% 2% -
25 GENTILE Vittoria 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
26 WONG Charlene 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
27 LEE Kaitlin 9% 32% 36% 18% 5% 1% -
28 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 4% 22% 38% 26% 8% 1%
29 LIANG Claire 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
30 WANG JiaQi - - 5% 25% 46% 24%
31 BORGUETA Madison 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
32 CHOI Charlotte - 7% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
33 STADNIK Emilia 2% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1%
34 BAIK Sarah - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
35 CASTELO Soleil 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
36 FUNG Iris - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
37 LEOU Korina - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
38 ALAMI Amira 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
39 ZHANG Ashley - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
40 ZHANG Emily 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 11% 2%
41 WENG Amber - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
42 BROWN Aria 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
43 NIU Jessica - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
44 MACKAY Katherine 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
45 ENG Madeleine 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
46 CHAN Madeleine V. 1% 8% 22% 31% 25% 10% 2%
47 VISWANATHAN Nishka 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
48 PARK Haylie 1% 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
49 YAO Annabelle 17% 43% 32% 8% 1% - -
50 ROHATGI Saanvi 16% 45% 31% 8% 1% -
51 BHARDWAJ Riya 10% 35% 39% 14% 2% - -
51 LEE Grace 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
53 GALLAGHER Isabella 73% 24% 3% - - - -
54 YUN Madison 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
55 KHERA Anya 29% 45% 22% 4% - - -
56 SONG Emily 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
57 FUNG Maya 46% 41% 11% 1% - -
58 YEUNG Sidney 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
59 MANSPERGER Gia 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
60 VATS Ishita < 1% 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.