The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

Battle in Space City ROC/RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, April 29, 2023 at 3:00 PM

University of Houston - Downtown - Wellness and Success Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. - - 1% 10% 41% 48%
2 EMMERT JP - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
3 POOLE James M. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
3 HESS Marc F. - 1% 6% 25% 46% 22%
5 CHAO Warren - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
6 GRAY Connor W. - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
7 VILLAREAL Quentin 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
8 KASKAN Peter E. - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
9 TIEMANN Landen - 1% 6% 28% 47% 18%
10 MCMAHAN Christopher D. 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
11 DECKER Hunter 10% 46% 33% 9% 1% -
12 ESHONKULOV Aziz 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
13 CARDENAS Lucas - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
14 PEREZ Daniel 18% 43% 31% 8% 1% -
15 GONZALEZ Michael 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
16 DADE MAXIMUS 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
17 HAWLEY Justin 58% 34% 7% 1% - -
18 TALLEY Blake 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
19 KOSTUSIAK Evan 23% 48% 24% 5% - -
20 HOWARD Paolo 1% 12% 34% 38% 14% 1%
21 COHEN Nathan 5% 30% 41% 20% 4% -
22 LALLY Charles 3% 30% 44% 21% 3% -
23 LINER Sawyer - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
24 CARR Cage 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 2% -
25 JOHNSON Diego 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.