Battle in Space City ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, April 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

University of Houston - Downtown - Wellness and Success Center - Houston, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 OJEDA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 30%
3 THAYER Jake T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 40%
3 KNYSH Oleg 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 18%
5 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
6 BARG Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3% < 1%
7 HURME Tommi K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
8 FOWLER James A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 28%
9 VILLALOBOS Felipe 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
10 MORALES Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
11 BRILLA ARAYA Steffano 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 1%
12 FREIMAN Benjamin (Ben) D. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
13 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
14 MUNOZ Humberto 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
15 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
16 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 5%
17 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
18 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
19 THOMAS Harris 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
19 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 99% 85% 47% 12% 1%
21 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% - -
22 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
23 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
24 GRAY Connor W. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
25 YU Austin 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
26 VAUGHN Matthew (Manny) E. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
27 XIAO Andrew 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
28 JOHNSTON Bradley 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7% -
29 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
30 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
31 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
32 EMMERT JP 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
33 HOWARD Paolo 100% 64% 14% 1% - - -
34 DECKER Hunter 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
35 CARR Cage 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -
36 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 99% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
37 SKOPIK Jr August 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11% 1%
38 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
39 GONZALEZ Michael 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
40 COHEN Nathan 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
41 CHAO Warren 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
42 TALLEY Blake 100% 74% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.