Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, February 15, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 1% 10% 36% 52%
2 JOHNSON Andrew J. - - - - 2% 24% 74%
3 CHAN Zachary D. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
3 PARK Donghwan - - 1% 5% 26% 44% 24%
5 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
5 HU William - 1% 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
7 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
8 LIMB Matthew G. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
9 NADILE Henry V. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 22%
10 LIN John A. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 17%
11 DROZ Camden J. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
12 LINDER James (Luke) L. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
13 BOLTON Braydon A. - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
14 KIM Avery J. - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
15 CHEN Alan - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
16 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 33% 13%
17 HAMMER Peter A. - 1% 9% 31% 41% 17%
18 LEE Kyle - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
19 KIM Stephen E. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
19 LIM Ryan Y. - 2% 10% 25% 33% 23% 6%
21 KUSHKOV Simon O. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
22 YOUNG Nash - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
23 PRIEST Leighton K. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
24 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
25 LAI Adam J. - 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
26 SHEPANEK Noah M. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
27 DHINGRA Gian K. - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21% 2%
28 YAO Jonathan - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
29 BARTOLO Domenic V. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
30 SAKHAMURI Surya - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
31 KIM Sean G. - - - 5% 32% 62%
32 JI Cody Walter - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11%
33 MERCHANT Marcel J. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
34 CHAYEVSKY Kirk - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
35 HUSSAIN Faaris - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
36 DODRILL Grant - 4% 25% 46% 23% 2%
37 HARLEY Colby A. - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
37 MARSEE James - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
39 MIKA Casper - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
40 AURAY Phileas - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
40 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 28%
42 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
43 CHIEN Phillip L. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
44 LEVIN Mark A. - 5% 28% 38% 22% 6% -
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
45 YANG Kevin S. - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
47 YATES Colum C. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
48 MOON Sean H. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
49 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
50 PAN Andrew W. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
51 BARNETT Peter - 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
52 OWENS William - 1% 6% 21% 37% 29% 6%
53 TONG Qilin - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9%
54 CHAN Matthew - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
55 DENNER Lysander H. - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
56 TAKEMARU Leo - 1% 12% 38% 41% 9%
57 JEFFORDS Alexander - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
58 WINKLER Lucas G. - - 2% 13% 38% 40% 6%
59 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
60 CHANG Brandon - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
61 LILOV Neil - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
62 CAI Lawrence (Larry) - 2% 17% 39% 32% 9% 1%
63 LIANG Connor - 1% 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
64 PORTMANN Stein J. 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
65 FRISHMAN Ethan J. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
66 WIND Nicky E. - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
67 SMITH David C. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
68 DEMAREST Iain - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
69 ZHOU Matthew R. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
70 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 2% 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
71 LINSKY Matthew 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
72 HONG Marshall Q. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
73 HOLMES Aiden G. 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 3%
74 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
75 KANG Brandon M. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 11%
76 RIVERA Inigo Franco - - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
77 STONE Jack V. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
77 SO Hananiah - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
79 LAUDON Konrad 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
80 KEEFE Duncan 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3% -
81 LO Joshua H. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
82 NG Jonathan H. - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
83 SINGER Carson - 5% 18% 33% 29% 13% 2%
84 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
85 NI AMEN Zahir K. - 4% 14% 29% 31% 18% 4%
86 GILLIGAN Wolff 1% 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
86 FANG David 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
88 VASILYEV Nikita K. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
89 LI Joshua L. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
90 ZHOU Justin - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
91 ROPER Evan C. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
92 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
93 GEFELL Andrew P. 1% 8% 26% 36% 24% 6%
94 RAI Avin 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
95 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
96 LUEBBE Macklan C 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
97 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
98 WUN William 1% 15% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
99 BUEKER Samuel P. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
100 CHANG Eliot A. - 3% 14% 33% 33% 14% 2%
101 WOOD Elden S. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
102 DANNULL Lukas J. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
102 SMITH Mitchell M. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
104 ORPILLA Apolo A. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
105 LAU Jeremy Y. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
106 GREEN IV James (Bud) - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
107 CHAMBERS Amir E. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 7%
108 DESAI Drewv D. - 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
109 YANG Ziyi - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
109 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 4%
111 KOKKIN Jack S. 2% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
112 LIN William - 3% 17% 35% 31% 11% 1%
113 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 18% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
114 BREIER Satchel E. 1% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
115 STRONG Jr James S. - 2% 15% 36% 35% 11% 1%
116 BARBER William S. 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
117 MUTTER Alexander T. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
118 HARVEY Nicholas J. 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
119 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
120 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
120 GORTON George F. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
122 LIU David J. 3% 20% 43% 28% 6% - -
123 BAILEY Asher 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
124 NEUHEARDT Peter 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
125 NOBLE Daniel 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
126 DENNER Maximilian P. - 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% -
127 CHIN Matthew W. 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
128 SHI Andrew - < 1% 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
129 YEN Preston 1% 12% 36% 38% 11% 1% -
130 QUAN Nicholas - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
131 LIU Jonathan M. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
132 KENNEDY Liam A. - 2% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
133 BACON Elias (Eli) H. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
134 POPE Nico - 7% 30% 40% 20% 3% -
135 CHEN Brian - - 2% 12% 36% 38% 12%
136 CHO Brandon 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
137 TRINH Trevor Z. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
138 ESCUETA Tony V. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
139 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
140 MILLER Levi H. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
141 ASHBY Ethan J. 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2% -
142 BUKOWSKI Bronson - 2% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
143 DILLREE Spencer S. - 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
144 LASORSA Matthew 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
145 JARAMILLO Tobias L. - - 5% 23% 42% 27% 2%
145 HINGNEKAR Aniket 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
147 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 4% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
148 PEDERSEN Leif 1% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
149 PARK Collin D. - - 5% 23% 39% 26% 6%
149 ANGEL Jonathan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
151 RABINKOV Anthony 4% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
152 MAHONEY Colin M. 1% 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
153 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 1% 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
154 PETRAMALE Samuel J. - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
155 GANTA Vijay 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
156 BERGER Oliver 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
157 HANEY Vincent 19% 51% 25% 4% - - -
158 NUMAN Yazan M. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
159 ZHOU Kevin 2% 21% 43% 27% 6% -
160 TANG Alex Y. 10% 37% 36% 15% 3% -
161 VAULES Charles W. 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
162 SIMAK Jonathan V. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
163 LE Hayden 1% 36% 41% 18% 4% - -
164 FORMAN Logan - 2% 23% 40% 27% 8% 1%
165 LIU kelly 6% 32% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
166 GHOSH Tuhin 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
167 GILMORE Thomas W. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
168 JEAN Noe T. - 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
168 HUANG Jonathan S. 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
170 MORRILL Justin 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
171 JINICH Ilan R. 5% 23% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
172 CHEN Lucas B. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
173 HUANG Eric - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
174 BARBER Brendan 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
175 LEONARD Cole 2% 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
175 YOUNG Brendon 1% 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
177 COLEMAN Zachary 40% 41% 15% 3% - - -
178 BRAR Sanjeet - 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
179 TONG ZACHARY 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
180 ZHOU Miles 11% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
181 WRIGHT Athan 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
182 YOU Jaden 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
183 DEAK Gabriel M. 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
184 HOUTZ Jackson 12% 44% 34% 9% 1% -
185 GREENBAUM Ian L. 39% 41% 16% 3% - -
186 YORK Andrew 56% 35% 9% 1% - -
187 LEFEVRE Colin B. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
188 MURTHY mukund 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1%
189 BULL Anderson 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
190 LUO ZIRUI 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
191 PARKER Riley D. 8% 26% 33% 23% 8% 2% -
191 FLORES Peter D. - 7% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
193 VILLARREAL Mateo 68% 29% 3% - - - -
194 LATIF Ali A. 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
195 KIM Benjamin H. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
195 PARKHURST Jr Michael 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
197 EPSTEIN Henry N. 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
198 MYERS Kaleb S. 3% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1% -
199 BROOME Aidan P. 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
200 BERRIO Carter E. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
201 RESHEIDAT Malik 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
202 KAPLAN David 19% 37% 29% 12% 3% - -
203 YANG Joshua Q. 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
204 BAUER Hank E. 19% 64% 16% 2% - - -
204 WANG Jonathan 20% 54% 23% 4% - - -
206 MURZYN III CJ 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
206 HURST Alexander 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
208 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 23% 51% 22% 4% - - -
209 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 14% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
210 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 1% 11% 34% 37% 14% 2% -
211 LEMPERT Levy A. 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
212 HONG Vincent Q. 8% 45% 36% 10% 1% - -
213 ALEXANDER Jonah A. 23% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
214 BELLEMIN Thomas 26% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
214 STRAWDER Dason 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
216 CABLE Dante 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
216 PROCHAZKA Archer R. 39% 51% 9% 1% - - -
216 BOWDEN JR. william 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
219 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
220 HOEY-WASOW Henry 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
221 ROSS Avi J. 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
221 BURNS Caleb 81% 17% 1% - - - -
223 MOOREHEAD Patrick 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
224 CHUPKIN Nikolas 22% 38% 27% 10% 2% - -
225 GAFFNEY John M. 57% 36% 7% - - -
225 ALKIN Isaac 43% 40% 14% 3% - -
227 KELLY William H. 21% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
227 LAI Daniel 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
229 VAUGHN Justin T. 73% 25% 2% - - - -
229 XU William 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
231 BARNEY Corbin 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% -
232 PILLAI Jay K. 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% - -
232 GORMAN Liam 52% 39% 8% 1% - - -
232 FOX Nicholas 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
236 ROSS Eli 95% 5% - - - - -
237 HSU Derek 96% 4% - - - - -
238 BIRKS Evan D. 76% 22% 2% - - - -
239 FORTNA Miscia 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.