Junior Olympic National Championships

Cadet Men's Saber

Friday, February 15, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52%
2 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
3 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
3 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
5 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
5 HU William 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
7 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
8 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
9 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
10 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
11 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
12 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
13 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
14 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
15 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
16 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
17 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
18 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
19 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
19 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 6%
21 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
22 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
23 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
24 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
25 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
26 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
27 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 2%
28 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
29 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
30 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9%
31 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
32 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
33 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
34 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
35 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
36 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 95% 70% 25% 2%
37 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
37 MARSEE James 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
39 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
40 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
40 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
42 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
43 CHIEN Phillip L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
44 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% -
45 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
45 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
47 YATES Colum C. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
48 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
49 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
50 PAN Andrew W. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
51 BARNETT Peter 100% 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
52 OWENS William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 6%
53 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
54 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
55 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
56 TAKEMARU Leo 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 9%
57 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 46% 13%
58 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 6%
59 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
60 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
61 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
62 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
63 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
64 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 97% 76% 40% 12% 1%
65 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 3%
66 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
67 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 36% 7%
68 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
69 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
70 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
71 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
72 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
73 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
74 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
75 KANG Brandon M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
76 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
77 STONE Jack V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
77 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
79 LAUDON Konrad 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
80 KEEFE Duncan 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
81 LO Joshua H. 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
82 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
83 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
84 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
85 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
86 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 99% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
86 FANG David 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
88 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
89 LI Joshua L. 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
90 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
91 ROPER Evan C. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
92 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
93 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
94 RAI Avin 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
95 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
96 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
97 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
98 WUN William 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
99 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
100 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
101 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
102 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
102 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
104 ORPILLA Apolo A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
105 LAU Jeremy Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
106 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 2%
107 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
108 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
109 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
109 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
111 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 98% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
112 LIN William 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
113 REINSCH-GOLDSTEIN Alexander N. 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
114 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
115 STRONG Jr James S. 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
116 BARBER William S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
117 MUTTER Alexander T. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
118 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
119 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
120 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
120 GORTON George F. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
122 LIU David J. 100% 97% 77% 34% 6% - -
123 BAILEY Asher 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
124 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
125 NOBLE Daniel 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
126 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
127 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1%
128 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
129 YEN Preston 100% 99% 87% 51% 12% 1% -
130 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
131 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
132 KENNEDY Liam A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
133 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
134 POPE Nico 100% 100% 93% 63% 23% 3% -
135 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 12%
136 CHO Brandon 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
137 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
138 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
139 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
140 MILLER Levi H. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
141 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 99% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
142 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
143 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
144 LASORSA Matthew 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
145 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 29% 2%
145 HINGNEKAR Aniket 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
147 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
148 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 99% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
149 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 6%
149 ANGEL Jonathan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
151 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
152 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
153 ALKEMPER Tristan H. 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
154 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 8% 1%
155 GANTA Vijay 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
156 BERGER Oliver 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
157 HANEY Vincent 100% 81% 30% 5% - - -
158 NUMAN Yazan M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
159 ZHOU Kevin 100% 98% 77% 33% 6% -
160 TANG Alex Y. 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
161 VAULES Charles W. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4%
162 SIMAK Jonathan V. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
163 LE Hayden 100% 99% 63% 22% 4% - -
164 FORMAN Logan 100% 100% 98% 75% 35% 8% 1%
165 LIU kelly 100% 94% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
166 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
167 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
168 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
168 HUANG Jonathan S. 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
170 MORRILL Justin 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
171 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
172 CHEN Lucas B. 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
173 HUANG Eric 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
174 BARBER Brendan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
175 LEONARD Cole 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
175 YOUNG Brendon 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
177 COLEMAN Zachary 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
178 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
179 TONG ZACHARY 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
180 ZHOU Miles 100% 89% 45% 12% 2% - -
181 WRIGHT Athan 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
182 YOU Jaden 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
183 DEAK Gabriel M. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
184 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 88% 44% 10% 1% -
185 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
186 YORK Andrew 100% 44% 10% 1% - -
187 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
188 MURTHY mukund 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
189 BULL Anderson 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
190 LUO ZIRUI 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 5% -
191 PARKER Riley D. 100% 92% 66% 33% 10% 2% -
191 FLORES Peter D. 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 3% -
193 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 32% 3% - - - -
194 LATIF Ali A. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
195 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 98% 83% 49% 18% 3% -
195 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
197 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
198 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
199 BROOME Aidan P. 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
200 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
201 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
202 KAPLAN David 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% - -
203 YANG Joshua Q. 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
204 BAUER Hank E. 100% 81% 18% 2% - - -
204 WANG Jonathan 100% 80% 27% 4% - - -
206 MURZYN III CJ 100% 98% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
206 HURST Alexander 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
208 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 77% 26% 4% - - -
209 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
210 UEYAMA Ietetsu A. 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
211 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
212 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
213 ALEXANDER Jonah A. 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
214 BELLEMIN Thomas 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
214 STRAWDER Dason 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
216 CABLE Dante 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
216 PROCHAZKA Archer R. 100% 61% 10% 1% - - -
216 BOWDEN JR. william 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
219 PALMA Benedict-Gillian 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
220 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
221 ROSS Avi J. 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
221 BURNS Caleb 100% 19% 1% - - - -
223 MOOREHEAD Patrick 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
224 CHUPKIN Nikolas 100% 78% 40% 13% 2% - -
225 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 43% 7% - - -
225 ALKIN Isaac 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
227 KELLY William H. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
227 LAI Daniel 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
229 VAUGHN Justin T. 100% 27% 3% - - - -
229 XU William 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
231 BARNEY Corbin 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% -
232 PILLAI Jay K. 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
232 GORMAN Liam 100% 48% 9% 1% - - -
232 FOX Nicholas 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
236 ROSS Eli 100% 5% - - - - -
237 HSU Derek 100% 4% - - - - -
238 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
239 FORTNA Miscia 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.