Mission SYC 2023

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Emma - - - 2% 17% 44% 37%
2 YANG Iris - - - - 5% 36% 59%
3 CASCONE Emily - - - 4% 24% 53% 19%
3 AMR HOSSNY Sara - - - - - 8% 91%
5 PEVZNER Nicole - - - 2% 14% 43% 42%
6 LI Han (Helina) - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
7 SHEN Emilia - - - - 6% 37% 56%
8 KUMAMOTO Shino - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 10%
9 MCSHERRY Ava - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
10 CHO Emily (Euran) - - - 5% 22% 42% 30%
11 ZELDIN Nadia - - 3% 20% 44% 29% 4%
12 KAPRAN Anastasia - 1% 7% 28% 40% 22% 4%
13 SIROTA Francis - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
14 BROWN Lola - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
15 FENG Grace - - - - 5% 31% 64%
16 SHENG Katherine - 1% 18% 45% 30% 5% -
17 WANG Joanna - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 16%
18 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite - 1% 6% 23% 42% 27% 1%
19 WANG Amabel - - 1% 8% 30% 44% 17%
20 FIELD Elizabeth - - 1% 11% 34% 40% 14%
21 LIN Yunong 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
22 HARRIS Julia - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
23 FENG Audrey - 1% 9% 29% 41% 19% 1%
24 CAI Ilana - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13% 2%
25 TANG Melody Fujiao - - 2% 17% 42% 34% 5%
26 HAO Danica - - 11% 38% 40% 10% 1%
27 JOO Natalie - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
28 LIU Caydence 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 1% -
29 BING Charlotte - 4% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
30 ROBERTS Anastasia 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
31 LI Savannah 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
32 CAO Kayla 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
33 EYER Brooke - 3% 17% 42% 31% 8% -
34 MCFARLANE Asha - 8% 30% 39% 19% 3% -
35 DONG Iris - 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2%
36 DE CASTRO Kai 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2% -
37 LI Beryl 13% 41% 35% 10% 1% - -
38 BAULIN Zoya 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
39 ZHANG Zoey 8% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
40 PEDERSEN Clara 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 2% -
41 YACOBUCCI Nadia - 3% 39% 42% 14% 1% -
42 PELLE Lia 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
43 LIU Jenna 41% 44% 14% 2% - - -
43 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2% -
45 YIN Chloe 7% 30% 38% 20% 5% - -
46 SINGH Evangelina 21% 47% 26% 6% - - -
47 MCSHERRY Kayla 1% 8% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
48 PAN Yiran 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
49 BO Iris 20% 50% 25% 4% - - -
49 KRAHE Annika 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
51 CAO Amelie 23% 66% 10% - - - -
52 GOMEZ Sofia 64% 31% 4% - - - -
53 ZHANG Caroline 32% 46% 19% 2% - - -
54 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 1% 10% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
55 SHIN Elizabeth 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
56 HAFEZ Sahar 4% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
57 OTTAVIANO Maris 55% 39% 6% - - - -
58 GE Deanna 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
59 CHOI Cara 72% 28% 1% - - - -
60 XU-FERGUSON Genevieve 13% 40% 36% 10% 1% - -
61 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
61 LI Doreen 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
63 CHAN Kaitlyn 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.