Mission SYC 2023

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
2 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 59%
3 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 19%
3 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
5 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
6 LI Han (Helina) 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
7 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 56%
8 KUMAMOTO Shino 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
9 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
10 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 30%
11 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 4%
12 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 4%
13 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
14 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
15 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
16 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 99% 81% 36% 6% -
17 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 16%
18 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 1%
19 WANG Amabel 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
20 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
21 LIN Yunong 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2% -
22 HARRIS Julia 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
23 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19% 1%
24 CAI Ilana 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
25 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 39% 5%
26 HAO Danica 100% 100% 100% 89% 51% 11% 1%
27 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
28 LIU Caydence 100% 99% 82% 44% 12% 1% -
29 BING Charlotte 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
30 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
31 LI Savannah 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
32 CAO Kayla 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 6% -
33 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 8% -
34 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% -
35 DONG Iris 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
36 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
37 LI Beryl 100% 87% 46% 11% 1% - -
38 BAULIN Zoya 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
39 ZHANG Zoey 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
40 PEDERSEN Clara 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
41 YACOBUCCI Nadia 100% 100% 97% 58% 15% 1% -
42 PELLE Lia 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
43 LIU Jenna 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
43 LIU Jingyi (Eva) 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
45 YIN Chloe 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% - -
46 SINGH Evangelina 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -
47 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
48 PAN Yiran 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3% -
49 BO Iris 100% 80% 30% 5% - - -
49 KRAHE Annika 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
51 CAO Amelie 100% 77% 11% - - - -
52 GOMEZ Sofia 100% 36% 4% - - - -
53 ZHANG Caroline 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
54 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
55 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
56 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
57 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 45% 6% - - - -
58 GE Deanna 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
59 CHOI Cara 100% 28% 1% - - - -
60 XU-FERGUSON Genevieve 100% 87% 47% 11% 1% - -
61 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
61 LI Doreen 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
63 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.