2nd Annual Herb Spector Cup

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 7, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Birmingham Fencing Club - Birmingham, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SUNDQUIST Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
2 CRAMER Bradley 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
3 RAY William 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18%
5 CARRIE Konnor 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
6 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 94% 68% 25% 3%
7 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 13%
8 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
9 ADIBZADEH Mehrdad 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
10 WONG Garrick G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
11 CALINSKY Edward 100% 100% 89% 52% 15% 2%
12 ELLIOTT Wyatt 100% 100% 93% 60% 17%
13 SMITH Andrew 100% 100% 92% 59% 14%
14 CORDOVA Colin 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
15 WHALEN Garrett 100% 99% 68% 25% 4% -
16 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 80% 35% 6% - -
17 MOYNIHAN Jones 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% -
18 FORD Tillman 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
19 SOPER Adam 100% 97% 50% 11% 1%
20 MACALUSO Matthew 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
21 KLITTEN Robert 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
22 FAN Yuchen 100% 96% 71% 26% 4% -
23 RESTER Christopher 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
24 TAYLOR Thomas 100% 94% 57% 18% 3% -
25 ETHRIDGE Christopher 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% -
26 REEVES Ruby 100% 46% 8% 1% -
27 ALLEY Mary Ellis 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
28 HAAS Lindsey 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
29 MASRI Rania 100% 96% 73% 31% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.