May 2023 Challenge Cup

Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 NEMETH Arthur - - 1% 32% 67%
2 BIESIADA Jan 6% 29% 42% 20% 2%
3 KENT Matthew - 3% 16% 42% 39%
3 JOHNSON Eli 6% 34% 42% 16% 2%
5 MARTIN Dirk 1% 11% 34% 39% 15%
6 TURNER Joshua 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
7 TRAN John 1% 9% 38% 50% 2%
8 MOLDOVEANU Roman 17% 43% 33% 7% -
9 TURNER Jackson 1% 12% 35% 38% 14%
10 FLANDERS Genevieve 23% 42% 27% 7% -
11 TRAN Emmanuel (Nino) 1% 12% 38% 39% 10%
12 ADAMS Crawford 20% 40% 29% 9% 1%
13 XU Kaylee 2% 20% 41% 30% 7%
14 MATHEIS Grace 13% 39% 35% 12% 1%
15 DEPP Edward 5% 25% 40% 26% 4%
16 MCNARY Sean 25% 47% 25% 3% -
17 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 18% 42% 32% 8% -
18 BIESIADA Sophia 12% 36% 36% 14% 2%
19 KEATING Richard 4% 19% 37% 31% 10%
20 HAWS Clara 18% 41% 31% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.