May 2023 Challenge Cup

Mixed Épée

Saturday, May 20, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 NEMETH Arthur 100% 100% 100% 99% 67%
2 BIESIADA Jan 100% 94% 65% 22% 2%
3 KENT Matthew 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 JOHNSON Eli 100% 94% 60% 18% 2%
5 MARTIN Dirk 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
6 TURNER Joshua 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
7 TRAN John 100% 99% 90% 51% 2%
8 MOLDOVEANU Roman 100% 83% 40% 7% -
9 TURNER Jackson 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
10 FLANDERS Genevieve 100% 77% 35% 7% -
11 TRAN Emmanuel (Nino) 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
12 ADAMS Crawford 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
13 XU Kaylee 100% 98% 79% 38% 7%
14 MATHEIS Grace 100% 87% 48% 13% 1%
15 DEPP Edward 100% 95% 70% 30% 4%
16 MCNARY Sean 100% 75% 28% 3% -
17 CLEMMER-BECHT Elise 100% 82% 40% 8% -
18 BIESIADA Sophia 100% 88% 52% 16% 2%
19 KEATING Richard 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
20 HAWS Clara 100% 82% 42% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.