Event Preview
February NACThursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3579 | 3649 - 3529 |
| 5 - 8 | 3420 | 3505 - 3389 |
| 9 - 16 | 3256 | 3375 - 3194 |
| 17 - 32 | 3046 | 3178 - 2981 |
| 33 - 64 | 2882 | 2989 - 2773 |
| 65 - 128 | 2565 | 2783 - 2358 |
| 129 - 200 | 2130 | 2533 - 1404 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.