Event Preview
February NACThursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3554 | 3591 - 3495 |
| 5 - 8 | 3410 | 3478 - 3364 |
| 9 - 16 | 3252 | 3366 - 3182 |
| 17 - 32 | 3049 | 3180 - 2974 |
| 33 - 64 | 2877 | 2989 - 2774 |
| 65 - 128 | 2559 | 2786 - 2352 |
| 129 - 199 | 2120 | 2580 - 1403 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.