Event Preview
February NACThursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4105 | 4263 - 3919 |
| 5 - 8 | 3876 | 4107 - 3704 |
| 9 - 16 | 3562 | 3674 - 3375 |
| 17 - 32 | 3174 | 3370 - 3021 |
| 33 - 64 | 2824 | 3400 - 2626 |
| 65 - 128 | 2455 | 3078 - 2234 |
| 129 - 173 | 2123 | 2342 - 1901 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.