Ref Observational Bay Cup at WBFC: XF3, XE2, XS3

Senior Mixed Foil

Monday, May 29, 2023 at 12:30 PM

West Berkeley Fencing Club - Berkeley, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Shuang 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
2 LIU William 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
3 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
3 SAH Steven 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 19% 2%
5 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
6 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 10%
7 VAN SCOYK Aeron I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
8 ADAMS Cedric 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
9 LUI Justin 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
10 BHATT Morgane 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
10 PETERSON Lucas 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
12 ZANDER Edmund Johann 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% - -
13 LIANG Zixuan R. 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
14 BHATT Jay 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 16%
15 CRACRAFT William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
16 HE Bourne 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% - -
17 WOO Noah 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
18 BECKER Ethan 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
19 RAMIREZ Jordan 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% - -
20 KOSAI Jordyn M. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
21 HAMEL Gillian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.