The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Event Results

Senior Mixed Foil

Ref Observational Bay Cup at WBFC: XF3, XE2, XS3Pool Heatmap

Monday, May 29, 2023 at 12:30 PM West Berkeley Fencing Club · Berkeley, CA, USA
21 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Shuang 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
2 LIU William 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
3 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
3 SAH Steven 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 18% 2%
5 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
6 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 10%
7 VAN SCOYK Aeron I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 17%
8 ADAMS Cedric 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
9 LUI Justin 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
10 BHATT Morgane 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
10 PETERSON Lucas 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
12 ZANDER Edmund Johann 100% 90% 53% 17% 2% - -
13 LIANG Zixuan R. 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
14 BHATT Jay 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
15 CRACRAFT William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
16 HE Bourne 100% 89% 50% 15% 2% - -
17 WOO Noah 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
18 BECKER Ethan 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% - -
19 RAMIREZ Jordan 100% 85% 43% 9% 1% - -
20 KOSAI Jordyn M. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
21 HAMEL Gillian 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -