The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Raleigh SJCC & Division II North American Cup

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, June 3, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Raleigh Convention Center - Raleigh, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FEIG Sela 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
2 LIU Yifei - - < 1% 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 HUAI Delilah - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 GRAJALES Hannah E. - 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
6 DAI Olivia - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 8%
7 CROOKS Riley 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
8 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 1% 6% 22% 35% 28% 8%
9 KONDEV Elizabeth - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
10 MEDVINSKY Alexandra - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
11 BOYNTON Ainsley 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
12 MERCHANT Aishwarya 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
13 MANN Sophia J. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
14 CARTER Keely 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
15 LIGH Erenei J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
16 DUDNICK Morgan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
17 HAMMERSTROM Aria 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
18 FAN Grace - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
19 XU Emily T. - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
20 LUKASHENKO Angelina - - 3% 18% 44% 35%
21 ZENG Sarah 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
22 HUANG Neila 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
23 KHAN Alissa - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
24 CHAVAN Arya - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
25 LIN Nicole - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
26 HUANG MADELINE - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
27 MUELLER Amelia D. 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
28 GUVEN Coco - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
29 DILLE Carolina G. - 2% 13% 37% 37% 11%
30 CHIN Elise - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
31 BERNARD Kathryn 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
32 CHEN Kevy - 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
33 WANG yining - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
34 LI Alexis 1% 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
35 ARNECKE Lauren A. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
36 STONE Coral - 5% 19% 35% 31% 11%
37 MANKOVA Varvara 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
38 DANTULURI Shalini - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
39 NEUMAN Ella - 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
40 NAYAK Antara 27% 48% 21% 4% < 1% - -
41 LOO Kaitlyn - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
42 FENG Alicia G. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
43 TUNG Renee 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
44 BAWA Anahat 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
45 DONDERIS Katherine 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
46 BERMAN greta 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
47 JOHNSTON Lily 5% 22% 36% 27% 10% 1%
48 SHINCHUK Ellisha - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
49 YEN Natalie 2% 14% 33% 32% 15% 4% -
50 BARROSO Isabela 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
51 TAN Kylie 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
52 YOUNG Audrey 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
53 PADANILAM Lily 1% 18% 39% 30% 10% 1%
54 XIE Nora 8% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
55 KANDADAI Lara 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2%
56 TA-ZHOU Emma 3% 25% 40% 25% 7% 1%
57 TREACY Aisling - 3% 18% 37% 32% 10%
58 PALEO Gabriella - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
59 FANG Sophie 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
60 ZHANG Sophie - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
61 MONTORIO Lily M. - 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
62 CHI Claire 1% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
63 MARGULIAN Maria 4% 23% 37% 25% 9% 1% -
64 PROBASCO Leila 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
65 DUCKETT Retta - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
66 LITTLE Avery 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
67 MORGAN Lily 72% 25% 3% - - -
68 PAL Anjali G. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
69 LAGOON Miriam 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
70 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
71 DE SILVA Augusta 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
72 LI Sonia 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
73 KHOST Maeve 7% 34% 37% 17% 4% - -
74 DUCKETT Leighton 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
74 SHMULER Fiona 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
76 KINKADE Ellie - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
76 MAROSFOI Virag 76% 22% 2% - - - -
78 DANTULURI Shivani 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
79 SUHALIM Maree 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
80 DEHON Inès 18% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
81 SCHOEW Margot 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
81 ONG Lauren 50% 39% 10% 1% - -
83 GERASIMOVA Valeria 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
83 ZHOU Ziling 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
85 MILLER Tiffany E. 8% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.