Brandeis University - Boston, MA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YAO Jintao | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 2 | KIM Shaun M. | V V V D V V | V V V V D | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 3 | BARTOLO Domenic V. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | LIN Maxim | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 5 | YAO Jincheng | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.0 | 6 | +1.0 |
| 6 | SKINNER Graham B. | D V V V V V | V V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 7 | DOLAN Charles R. | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 8 | BAE Jason I. | V V V V V D | V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 9 | EFSTATHIOU Evangelos L. | V V D V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | HUANG Tom | V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 11 | MORALES Jonathan | V V V V D | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 12 | MICHELL Bailey | V D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 13 | BONDARENCO Vlad | V V V D V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 14 | PENG Bryan | V D D V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 15 | WEBER Mattias A. | D V D D V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 16 | GONG Jerry | D V V D D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 17 | CHUNG Connor | V V D V V | D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 18 | WANG Daniel | V D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 19 | NOURELDIN Gabriel | D D V V V V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 20 | GINSBERG Jordan | D V V V D V | D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 21 | PIWOWAR Alex | V V D V D V | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 22 | BADUSHOV Anton | V D V D D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 23 | MUNGOVAN Matthew | V D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 24 | LIU Mingyang Ryan | D D D V V | D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 25 | DUMOULIN Gabriel | D V D D V | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 26 | LAUB William | V V D D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 27 | WEN Edward | D V D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 28 | MEYERSON Jacob | V D V D D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 29 | KIM-COGAN Ryan | D D D V V | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 30 | SMITH Adam | D V V D D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 31 | YEN Preston | D D D V D | V D | 4.1 | 1 | -3.1 |
| 32 | RYAN Kai | D V D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 33 | COUNTS Nicholas | D D D D V | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 34 | DZIALO George A. | V D D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 35 | PERRON Robert | D D V D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 36 | CHIN Nigel | D D V D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 37 | TAUER Sam | D D V D D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 | |
| 38 | COURTIN Frederic | V D D D D D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 | |
| 39 | CHENG Brandon | D D D D V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 | |
| 40 | DRZEWICZEWSKI Sean | D D V D D D | 1.0 | 1 | - | |
| 41 | BERGER Jacob | D D V D D D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 | |
| 42 | COFFIN Carleton | D V D D D D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 | |
| 43 | PODDAR Shameek | D D D D D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 | |
| 44 | KHOTLINE Daniel | D D D D D D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 | |
| 45 | AVRAMIS Adam | D D D D D D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 | |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.