National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRARI Carlotta - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
2 KOENIG Charlotte R. - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
3 CHO Sabrina N. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
3 WANG Ellen - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
5 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - - 3% 23% 74%
6 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
7 SHEN Sophia H. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
8 CHUSID Mikayla - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
9 LEE Alina - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
10 SENIC Adeline - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
11 KIM Rachael - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
12 PEVZNER Victoria - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
13 LIU Jaelyn A. - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
14 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
15 PARK Rowan M. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
16 HAYES Nadia - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
17 TAN Kaitlyn N. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
18 LUNG Katerina - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
19 EYER Hailey M. - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 7%
20 KOROL Neta 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
21 KNIGHT Skylar - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
22 ZHANG Yunjia - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
23 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
24 XUE Alanna L. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
25 STAMOS Maria - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
26 CHEN Jia P. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
27 CHEN Chloe I. 10% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
28 LEE Lavender 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
29 BREKER Anika - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
30 PETROVA Kristina 10% 28% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
31 KIM Katherine - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
32 HO Brianna W. - 4% 16% 31% 30% 15% 3%
33 JING Emily - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
34 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
35 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
36 PROESTAKIS Katina A. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
37 CAO Arianna L. - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
38 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
39 KONG Chin-Yi - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
40 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
41 SHEN Lydia - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18% 1%
42 HE Elizabeth W. - - 2% 12% 35% 42% 10%
43 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 5%
44 SEO IRENE Y. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
45 YU Lauren C. 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
45 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
47 CHEN Allison V. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 11% 2%
48 ZHAO Sophie L. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
49 JANG Kimberley 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
50 LEE Brianna J. - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
51 MILLER Naomi E. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
52 GOOR Viviene E. 10% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
53 CASTANEDA Erika L. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11% 1%
54 BATRA Chaahat 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
55 LEE Yejine - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10%
56 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
57 HORSLEY Asherah - 1% 5% 20% 39% 29% 7%
58 RENTON Samantha 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
59 YANG Iris 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
60 PALMER Meredith K. 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
61 LI Shuang 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
62 SUN Ruoxi 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
63 NISSINOFF Alexandra 10% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
64 MI Aileen 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
65 CHO Rebecca H. 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
66 SERBAN Samantha M. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
67 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
68 LI Sophia M. 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
69 AMORE Victoria 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
70 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 1% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
71 DAVIA Daniella V. 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
72 GLASSON Sophia 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
73 MEI Sarah 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
74 GU Maggie Runlin 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
75 SOOD Ishani S. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
76 LEE Ji Ahn 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% 1% -
77 LIN Zhi tong 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
78 FUNG Emma 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
79 JO Mia C. 2% 13% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
80 WANG Zoie Z. 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
81 MASSON Juliette 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
82 ADLER Polly Z. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
83 CASTANEDA Keira 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
84 KOKES Aurora 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
85 LIU YiYang 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
86 OUYANG Bridgette Z. - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6%
87 CHO Cameron S. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
88 LUO Sandra J. 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
89 WONG Angellena 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
90 WANDJI Anais 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
91 MANIKTALA Prisha 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
92 PENG Amber L. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
93 DE LA CRUZ Eden 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
94 RANDOLPH Piper 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
95 NIKOLIC Alexandra 14% 42% 32% 10% 1% - -
96 LI Rachel Y. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
97 ZHOU Catherine 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
98 CHEN Renee 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
99 FUNG Vera 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
100 KOSTELNY Alexis 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
101 SEIGEL Norah 16% 39% 31% 12% 2% - -
101 ASCHETTINO Aurora 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
103 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
104 SEAL Julie T. 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
105 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
106 NAMGALAURI Mariam 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
107 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
108 WONG Sophia M. 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.