National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, June 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FERRARI Carlotta 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
2 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
3 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
6 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
7 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
8 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 7%
9 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
11 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
12 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
13 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
14 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
15 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4%
16 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
17 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
18 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
19 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
20 KOROL Neta 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
21 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 4%
22 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
23 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
24 XUE Alanna L. 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
25 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
26 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
27 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% -
28 LEE Lavender 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
29 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
30 PETROVA Kristina 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
31 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 1%
32 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
33 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
34 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
35 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
36 PROESTAKIS Katina A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
37 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
38 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
39 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
40 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
41 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
42 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 10%
43 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
44 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
45 YU Lauren C. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
45 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1% -
47 CHEN Allison V. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
48 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
49 JANG Kimberley 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
50 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
51 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
52 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
53 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
54 BATRA Chaahat 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
55 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
56 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
57 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
58 RENTON Samantha 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
59 YANG Iris 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
60 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
61 LI Shuang 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
62 SUN Ruoxi 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
63 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
64 MI Aileen 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
65 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
66 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
67 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 95% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
68 LI Sophia M. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
69 AMORE Victoria 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
70 SABATINI Isabella Ravenne 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2%
71 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
72 GLASSON Sophia 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3% -
73 MEI Sarah 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
74 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
75 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
76 LEE Ji Ahn 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
77 LIN Zhi tong 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
78 FUNG Emma 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
79 JO Mia C. 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
80 WANG Zoie Z. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
81 MASSON Juliette 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
82 ADLER Polly Z. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
83 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
84 KOKES Aurora 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
85 LIU YiYang 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
86 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6%
87 CHO Cameron S. 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
88 LUO Sandra J. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
89 WONG Angellena 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
90 WANDJI Anais 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
91 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
92 PENG Amber L. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
93 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
94 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 98% 81% 47% 15% 3% -
95 NIKOLIC Alexandra 100% 86% 43% 11% 2% - -
96 LI Rachel Y. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
97 ZHOU Catherine 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
98 CHEN Renee 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
99 FUNG Vera 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
100 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
101 SEIGEL Norah 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
101 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
103 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
104 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
105 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
106 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
107 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
108 WONG Sophia M. 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.