National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, July 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
2 WANG Robert - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 LIM William J. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
3 CHOI Silas - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
6 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
7 LEE Aydan J. - - - 1% 8% 38% 54%
8 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
9 HOLZ Daniel - - - - 6% 32% 61%
10 PENG Bryan - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
11 BAE Jason I. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
11 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
13 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
14 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 3% 18% 45% 33%
15 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
16 JOO Jeein - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
17 GUFFEY Christopher - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
18 SHOMAN Noah - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
19 WANG Nicolas - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
20 CHEONG Heonjun - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
21 LIN Daniel - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
21 YAN Kevin - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
23 LIU Kevin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
24 CHTERENTAL Alex - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
25 KANG evan R. - - 4% 20% 41% 28% 6%
26 LIU Lawrence - - 3% 13% 32% 38% 15%
27 GONG Jerry - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
28 PI Alexander - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
29 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
30 STURN Oliver - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
31 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
32 QIU Nathan - - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
33 PATIL Aaryan A. - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
33 KROON Lucas - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22%
35 MICLAUS Justin - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
36 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 1% 5% 24% 46% 24%
37 HUANG Alex F. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 21%
38 HWANG Jayden - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
39 ZHANG Derek - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
40 DALAL Rohan - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
41 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 4%
42 SUGIURA Samuel - 3% 15% 34% 34% 14% 1%
43 OH Triton - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
44 BYON Adrian - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
45 SHIPITSIN Alexander 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
46 SHANKWILER Christopher - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
47 GAO Albert - - 1% 7% 31% 47% 14%
47 SOWERS Samuel - 3% 14% 30% 33% 16% 3%
49 MEHAN Nicholas - 1% 7% 28% 43% 21%
50 KALPATHY Rohit - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
51 KUMAR Sachit - 1% 8% 24% 37% 25% 5%
52 ANAND Rohan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
53 LI Howard - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 12%
54 CHOW William T. - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 1%
55 HU Christopher - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - - 6% 29% 49% 16%
57 KILARI Krish - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
58 KIM Ethan - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
59 LEE Noah - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
60 ZHAO Zhiyu 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
61 VAROQUA Nalby 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
62 LIN Maxim - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
63 DOWNEY Baran - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
64 LO Bradley - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
65 REN James - - - 4% 20% 43% 31%
66 SAHAY Kenji - - 1% 10% 32% 43% 15%
67 BRANDT Jaden - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
68 HUBLALL Ethan 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
69 SO Preston 2% 16% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
69 ZHANG Yupeng 1% 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
71 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
72 GOLDIN Lucca - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
73 RYABKOV Stanislav 2% 17% 38% 33% 9% 1% -
74 MEYERSON Jacob - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
74 ROE Finnegan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
76 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 1% 7% 25% 43% 25%
77 TUNG Ryan 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
78 WANG Justin - - 4% 18% 39% 33% 6%
79 KIM ELIJAH - 3% 20% 40% 30% 7%
80 BROU Inkosi - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
81 WANG Zhuoyi - 3% 14% 31% 34% 15% 2%
82 COOK Cole - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
83 CHEEMA Hyder - 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
84 CHON Collin - 3% 15% 31% 33% 16% 3%
84 RAMANAN Govind - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
86 HUNG Samuel 1% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
87 KANG Evan - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 2%
88 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2%
89 VAID Luke - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
90 WANG daniel - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
91 SU Landon - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 8%
91 ZHAO Lucas 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
93 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
94 LAUB William 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% - -
95 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
96 TIAGI George 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
97 AKS Ari - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
98 ERMAKOV Semeon - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
99 MUNGUIA Nathan - 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
100 CHUNG Connor - - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
101 CRAIG Samuel - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
102 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
103 BOSITA Carson - - 5% 23% 45% 23% 3%
104 ZHANG Ethan W. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
105 HAO Anwen - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
106 MATTOO Surya 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
107 DECK Tyson - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
108 BERA Enzo - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
108 LUHAN Zachary - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
110 ZENG Noah - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 22%
111 HO Jacob 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
112 RAMTEKKAR Soham 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
112 KATZ Ryan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
114 LIN Steve 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
114 CHOKSI Vihaan 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
116 YAN William 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
117 GUAN Dennis - 4% 17% 34% 32% 11% 1%
118 POFF Kainoa 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
119 HUANG Maxwell H. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
120 GERSTMANN Max T. 2% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1%
121 HU Zhao Xuanyu 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
122 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
123 LESUEUR Luke J. - 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
123 CHEN Lohen 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
125 AYDOGDU Hakan 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
126 VAUGHN Jason - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
127 HALL Noah 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
128 NGO Maximus 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
129 YANG Dylan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
130 LI Yiwei - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
131 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 8%
132 LIN Philip T. - 3% 18% 41% 30% 7% -
133 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
134 VEDRE Neil 36% 42% 18% 3% < 1% - -
135 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 1% 9% 31% 40% 18%
136 AUTREY Adrien 10% 36% 39% 13% 2% - -
137 BARRIOS Diego - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
138 ROSS Dash S. 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
139 LI AYDEN 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
140 LEE Andrew 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
141 TURCK Caspar J. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
142 YERRAMILLI Tejas - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
143 FOX Gavin 1% 9% 31% 39% 17% 3% -
144 FANG Eason 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
145 ALAVE Kyle 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
146 KIM Kendrick 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
147 BOULAIS Andrew D. 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
147 WU Richard 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
147 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
150 EYBELMAN Ariel - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
150 CHEN Samuel - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
152 ANDRES Michael - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
152 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
154 GREMILLION Obadiah 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
155 TSAO Oliver - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
156 HOTHA Nikhil - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
157 CRAIG Andrew 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
158 SIMMONS John M. 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
159 KO Zuriel 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
160 HOLZ Lucas 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
161 HAMMERS Neel 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
162 MUNGOVAN Matthew 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
163 KIM Theodore 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
164 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17% 2%
165 RADJABLI Maximillian 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
166 KERCHER Alexander - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
167 MISHRA Aadi 8% 30% 39% 20% 3% - -
168 LEE Anderson 7% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
169 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
170 FERGUSON Constantine 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
171 SUN Bill 18% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
172 SAMMI Mukul 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
172 FAYETTE Julien 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
174 SUNG Julian 8% 33% 39% 18% 3% - -
175 GUREVICH Savely 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
176 KALOUDIS Sean 20% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
177 PINTO Marcus 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
178 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
179 ZHOU William 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
180 BYON Julian 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
181 SAGE Sebastian 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
181 JONES Elijah 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
183 VENU Ram 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 6% 1%
183 BREUER Daniel 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
185 HERRERA aragon 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
186 WANG Max 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
187 BALE ATMAN 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
188 HO Anson 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
188 BADUSHOV Anton 2% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
190 SUBA Lucas 5% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
191 WANG Max 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
192 DOLEV Ido 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% - -
193 KOGAN Yelisey L. 4% 22% 38% 26% 9% 1% -
194 BODKIN Jake M. 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
195 ZHENG LEON 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
196 HE Bowen 6% 36% 40% 16% 3% -
197 WANG HongXi 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
198 PATEL Rayn - < 1% 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
199 YOSHEA Henry 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% - -
200 CHUA Jared 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
201 WANG William 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
202 ZENG Vito 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
203 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
204 SHINCHUK Daniel 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
204 SUN Ziyao 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
204 JOHNSON Kai 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
207 TAN Ryan 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
208 YU Casey 37% 44% 16% 3% - - -
209 RICHARDS Corey 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
209 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
211 OLOUGHLIN Quin 11% 41% 34% 12% 2% - -
212 GAY Jono 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
213 WITCZAK Mateus 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
213 ZHOU James Y. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
215 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
216 SHAH Sajan - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% -
216 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
218 WEINSTEIN Nate 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
219 REHM Liam 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
219 PARCELL Colby 28% 45% 23% 4% - - -
221 LIN Lucas 42% 45% 12% 1% - - -
222 HRISTOV Kris 5% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
222 SUN Andrew 10% 33% 38% 16% 3% - -
224 LIM Brandon 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% 1% -
224 CHAN Henry 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
226 MATTOO Deven 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
227 SANGSTER Arden 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% - -
227 MCDONALD Finn 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
229 GAUVEY Kieran 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
229 CHEN Jonathan 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
231 JENSBY Jason 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
231 IYER Neil 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
231 KUSANAGI Soshi 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
231 WAGNER Elijah 34% 42% 20% 4% - - -
235 YANG Phillip 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
235 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
237 PARKILA Lukas 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
237 BUCK Maximilian 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
237 SOKOLOV Arseniy 18% 43% 31% 7% 1% - -
240 XU Ivan 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
240 PATRICO Peter 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
240 TURNER Benjamin 46% 39% 12% 2% - - -
243 WELLER Noah 67% 29% 4% - - -
244 PARRA Rodrigo 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
245 WONG Caleb W. 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
246 KOTVALI Aneesh 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
247 GONG Gavin 29% 50% 18% 3% - - -
247 RILEY "Jack" 28% 44% 23% 5% - - -
249 BARROWS Hunter 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
249 KAUFFMAN James 44% 41% 13% 2% - - -
251 ANSARI Umayr 66% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.