National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, July 2, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
3 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 53%
6 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
7 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
8 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
9 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
11 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
11 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
13 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
14 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
15 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
16 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
17 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
18 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
19 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
20 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
21 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
21 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
23 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
24 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
25 KANG evan R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
26 LIU Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
27 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
28 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
29 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
30 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
31 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
32 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
33 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
33 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
35 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
36 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
37 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
38 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
39 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
40 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
41 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
42 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 1%
43 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
44 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
45 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
46 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
47 GAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 14%
47 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
49 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
50 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
51 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 5%
52 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
53 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
54 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
55 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 16%
57 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
58 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
59 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
60 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
61 VAROQUA Nalby 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
62 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
63 DOWNEY Baran 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
64 LO Bradley 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
65 REN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
66 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
67 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
68 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
69 SO Preston 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
69 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
71 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
72 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
73 RYABKOV Stanislav 100% 98% 81% 43% 10% 1% -
74 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
74 ROE Finnegan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
76 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
77 TUNG Ryan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
78 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
79 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
80 BROU Inkosi 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
81 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
82 COOK Cole 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 2%
83 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
84 CHON Collin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
84 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
86 HUNG Samuel 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
87 KANG Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 2%
88 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
89 VAID Luke 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
90 WANG daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
91 SU Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 8%
91 ZHAO Lucas 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
93 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
94 LAUB William 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
95 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
96 TIAGI George 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
97 AKS Ari 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
98 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
99 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
100 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
101 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 11%
102 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
103 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
104 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
105 HAO Anwen 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
106 MATTOO Surya 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
107 DECK Tyson 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
108 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
108 LUHAN Zachary 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
110 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
111 HO Jacob 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
112 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
112 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
114 LIN Steve 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
114 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
116 YAN William 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
117 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12% 1%
118 POFF Kainoa 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
119 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
120 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 98% 76% 35% 8% 1%
121 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
122 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
123 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
123 CHEN Lohen 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
125 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
126 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
127 HALL Noah 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
128 NGO Maximus 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
129 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 6%
130 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
131 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 8%
132 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 8% -
133 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
134 VEDRE Neil 100% 64% 22% 4% < 1% - -
135 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
136 AUTREY Adrien 100% 90% 54% 15% 2% - -
137 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
138 ROSS Dash S. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
139 LI AYDEN 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
140 LEE Andrew 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
141 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
142 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
143 FOX Gavin 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
144 FANG Eason 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
145 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
146 KIM Kendrick 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
147 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
147 WU Richard 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
147 DENBROEDER Ronald (Mackie) 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
150 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
150 CHEN Samuel 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
152 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
152 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
154 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
155 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
156 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
157 CRAIG Andrew 100% 96% 75% 36% 10% 1% -
158 SIMMONS John M. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
159 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
160 HOLZ Lucas 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
161 HAMMERS Neel 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
162 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
163 KIM Theodore 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
164 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18% 2%
165 RADJABLI Maximillian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
166 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
167 MISHRA Aadi 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
168 LEE Anderson 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
169 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1%
170 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
171 SUN Bill 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
172 SAMMI Mukul 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
172 FAYETTE Julien 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
174 SUNG Julian 100% 92% 60% 21% 3% - -
175 GUREVICH Savely 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
176 KALOUDIS Sean 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
177 PINTO Marcus 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
178 POLEYUMPTEWA Connor 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
179 ZHOU William 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
180 BYON Julian 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
181 SAGE Sebastian 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
181 JONES Elijah 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
183 VENU Ram 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 6% 1%
183 BREUER Daniel 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
185 HERRERA aragon 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 2% -
186 WANG Max 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
187 BALE ATMAN 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
188 HO Anson 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
188 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
190 SUBA Lucas 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% - -
191 WANG Max 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
192 DOLEV Ido 100% 85% 45% 11% 1% - -
193 KOGAN Yelisey L. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
194 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
195 ZHENG LEON 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
196 HE Bowen 100% 94% 58% 18% 3% -
197 WANG HongXi 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
198 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
199 YOSHEA Henry 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% - -
200 CHUA Jared 100% 90% 54% 17% 3% - -
201 WANG William 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
202 ZENG Vito 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
203 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
204 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
204 SUN Ziyao 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
204 JOHNSON Kai 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
207 TAN Ryan 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
208 YU Casey 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
209 RICHARDS Corey 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
209 KMETA-SUAREZ Graysen 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
211 OLOUGHLIN Quin 100% 89% 47% 14% 2% - -
212 GAY Jono 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
213 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
213 ZHOU James Y. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7% -
215 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
216 SHAH Sajan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
216 SEETHAMRAJU Pranay 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
218 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
219 REHM Liam 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
219 PARCELL Colby 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
221 LIN Lucas 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
222 HRISTOV Kris 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
222 SUN Andrew 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% - -
224 LIM Brandon 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
224 CHAN Henry 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
226 MATTOO Deven 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
227 SANGSTER Arden 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
227 MCDONALD Finn 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
229 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
229 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
231 JENSBY Jason 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
231 IYER Neil 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
231 KUSANAGI Soshi 100% 85% 47% 16% 3% - -
231 WAGNER Elijah 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
235 YANG Phillip 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
235 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
237 PARKILA Lukas 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
237 BUCK Maximilian 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
237 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 82% 39% 8% 1% - -
240 XU Ivan 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
240 PATRICO Peter 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
240 TURNER Benjamin 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
243 WELLER Noah 100% 33% 4% - - -
244 PARRA Rodrigo 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
245 WONG Caleb W. 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
246 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
247 GONG Gavin 100% 71% 21% 3% - - -
247 RILEY "Jack" 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
249 BARROWS Hunter 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
249 KAUFFMAN James 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
251 ANSARI Umayr 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.