National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I-A Men's Saber

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
3 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 8%
5 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 4%
6 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
7 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
8 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
9 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
10 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
11 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
12 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
13 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
14 BOSITA Carson 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
15 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
16 BYON Adrian 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
17 XU William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
18 HEINTZ Evin Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 20%
19 PAN Alex 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
20 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
21 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
22 YUN Jake 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
23 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
24 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
25 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
26 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
27 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
28 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
29 OH Triton 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
30 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
31 BYON Julian 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
32 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
33 ZHOU Miles 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
34 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
35 LUO George F. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
36 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
37 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
38 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
39 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
40 ZHANG Derek 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
41 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
42 STAMIS Kyle 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
43 COLE Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
44 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
45 YOUNG Nash 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
46 AKS Ari 100% 98% 86% 57% 26% 7% 1%
46 KUMAR Sachit 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
48 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
49 ROE Finnegan 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
50 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
51 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 88% 52% 15% 1% -
52 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
53 GAO Albert 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
54 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
55 HONG Rubin 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
56 CHEN Evan P. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
57 POSY Daniel 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
58 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 98% 89% 63% 31% 9% 1%
59 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
60 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
61 SAVOY Luca 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
62 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 87% 49% 13% 1% -
63 YEN Preston 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
64 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
65 BONSELL Vance 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
66 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
67 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 5%
68 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
69 LIN Maxim 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
70 SAHAY Kenji 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
71 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
71 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
73 THORNHILL Kwasi 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
74 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
75 WONG James T. 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
76 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
77 HUANG Zekai 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
78 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
79 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
80 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
81 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
82 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
83 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 21% 4%
84 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
85 YANG Dylan 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 2%
85 ZHU Charlie 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
87 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
88 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
88 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
90 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
90 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 93% 69% 36% 11% 2% -
92 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
93 SCHERER Max 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
94 KANG evan R. 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
95 CHUNG Connor 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
96 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
97 VO Minh Q. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
98 LO Bradley 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
99 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
100 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
101 KIM Kendrick 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
102 CRAIG Samuel 100% 93% 63% 22% 2% -
103 MAY Griffin M. 100% 96% 77% 39% 11% 1%
104 DALAL Rohan 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% -
105 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
106 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
107 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
108 WANG William 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
109 HAO Anwen 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
109 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
111 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
111 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
111 XU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
114 BROU Inkosi 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
115 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 83% 48% 18% 4% - -
116 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
117 CHENG Hong 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
118 DUDNICK Christian 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
119 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
120 ZHOU William 100% 80% 30% 6% 1% - -
121 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
122 LAU Justin Y. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
123 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
124 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
125 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 97% 87% 60% 27% 5%
126 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
127 TIAGI Daniel 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
127 WILKINSON James 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
129 ZHAO Lucas 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
130 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
131 YOU Jaden 100% 98% 85% 55% 24% 6% 1%
132 KROON Lucas 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
133 HUANG Tom 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
134 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
134 KO Zuriel 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
136 PI Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
137 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
138 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
139 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
140 HUSTON Theodore 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
141 WALKE Devin 100% 57% 17% 2% - -
141 YAN Kevin 100% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
143 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 87% 52% 18% 4% - -
144 ZHOU James Y. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
144 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
146 VENU Ram 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
147 LEE Noah 100% 84% 45% 11% - -
148 HENDERSON Jack 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.