National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div I Women's Saber

Monday, July 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
3 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
3 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 27%
5 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
6 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 67% 23%
7 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
8 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
9 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
10 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
12 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
14 PAUL Lila 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
15 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
16 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
17 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 DRAGON Rainer 100% 95% 72% 35% 8% 1%
19 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 3%
20 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
21 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 4%
22 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
23 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
24 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 2%
25 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 10%
26 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
27 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
28 CHEN Ashley 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
28 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
30 WEI Vivian W. 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
31 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
32 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 22% 2%
33 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
34 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
35 JUNG Irene 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
36 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
37 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 28% 5%
38 SADIK HANA 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
39 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
40 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
40 LU Elaine 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
42 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
43 BLUM Leah I. 100% 99% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
44 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
45 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
46 MIKA Veronica 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 1%
47 XIAO julie 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
48 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
49 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
50 KER Grace 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
51 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
52 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
53 LEE Sophia 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
53 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
55 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
56 HUANG MADELINE 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
57 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
58 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
59 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
60 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
61 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
62 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
63 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
64 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
65 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
66 D-SALLOWS Keira 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
67 SO Catelyn 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
68 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
69 LU Amy 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
70 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
71 KIM Marley I. 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
72 SHI Cathleen 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
72 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
74 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
75 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
75 LIM Jaslene 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
77 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
78 HONE Katarina G. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
79 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
80 FESTA Carina 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
81 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
82 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
83 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
84 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
84 MENDIOLA RITCHIE Ingrid 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
86 SINHA Anika 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
87 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 2% -
88 YAO Rainie 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
89 LEE Hannah 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
90 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
91 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
92 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
93 NATH Trisha 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
94 DHAR Aamina 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
95 CHIANG Emily 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
96 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
97 LI Victoria J. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
98 BILILIES Sophia 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
99 JEONG Katie 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
100 LIU Yifei 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
101 NI Sharon 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
102 WU Helen 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
103 WEI JoyAnn 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
104 ZOU Yelin 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
105 GRAFF Sophie 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
106 LIN Nicole 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
107 HUAI Delilah 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
108 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% - -
109 MUND Ruth 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
110 HE Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 12% 1%
110 NGUYEN Siena 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
112 BROWN Emma 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
113 SCOTT Eve 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
113 MARYASH Samantha 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
115 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
116 YANG Lea 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
117 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
118 LIAO Siwen 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.