National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Saber

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAVOY Luca - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
2 PIWOWAR Alex - - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
3 GONG Jerry - - 2% 12% 36% 38% 12%
5 KROON Lucas - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
6 MUNGUIA Nathan - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
7 BARRIOS Diego - - 3% 19% 41% 30% 7%
8 HOTHA Nikhil - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
9 WONG James T. - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
10 RAMANAN Govind - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
11 KANG Evan 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
12 NOURELDIN Gabriel - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
13 CAISSE Simon B. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
14 CHON Collin - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
15 EPSTEIN Oliver D. - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
16 ZHAO Lucas - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
17 CHUNG Connor - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
18 EDELMAN Seth A. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 LOPEZ Lucas M. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
19 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% < 1%
21 MEYERSON Jacob - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
21 BRANDT Jaden - - - 3% 20% 46% 31%
23 LO Bradley - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
24 SUGIURA Samuel - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
25 CHEN Jonathan - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
26 NIETO Titus P. 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3%
27 MAY Griffin M. 1% 6% 27% 43% 23%
28 CHEEMA Hyder - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 14%
29 FOX Gavin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
30 HOPPA Luke H. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
31 MARQUEZ Jeremy - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
32 WU Richard - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
33 TAN Ethan - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% < 1%
34 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 2% 11% 34% 41% 13%
35 CHAN Aidan - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
35 POFF Kainoa - - 4% 20% 41% 29% 6%
35 ZHAO Zhiyu - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
38 WEBER Mattias A. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
39 LIN Felix - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
40 DALAL Rohan - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
41 CHOW William T. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
42 HUANG Tom - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
43 SIDDIQUI Shayan - - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
44 KERCHER Alexander 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
44 HO Jacob - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 2%
46 BYON Julian - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 15%
47 YERRAMILLI Tejas - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
47 GAY Jono 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
47 STAMIS Kyle - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
50 LAUB William 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
52 BADUSHOV Anton 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
53 AUTREY Adrien 2% 18% 39% 30% 9% 1% -
54 HUBLALL Ethan - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
55 CHENG Hong - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
56 SHANKAR Karthik 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
57 SHAH Sajan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
58 TASIKAS Stylianos 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
59 RYABKOV Stanislav - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
60 WEN Edward - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
61 KIBBAR Tomer L. - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
62 STURGEON Cole 23% 44% 26% 6% 1%
63 FIRSTMAN William B. - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
64 YAN Leonard Z. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
65 CHOKSI Vihaan - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
66 YAN Kevin - - - 3% 15% 41% 42%
67 HERRERA aragon - 6% 28% 41% 21% 4% -
68 DELARUE NELSON Y. - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
69 ZHOU James Y. - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
70 JOO Jeein - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
71 CRAIG Andrew 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
72 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
73 XU Ivan 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
74 LIM Brandon 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
75 PARKER Timothy S. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
76 LUCAS Hayden - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
77 WANG HongXi 1% 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
78 YANG Joshua - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
79 MCCARTHY Devan - - 1% 11% 32% 39% 16%
79 YU Kevin 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
81 TIAGI George - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
82 DESAUTELS Connor 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
83 GUREVICH Savely 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
84 SAGE Sebastian - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
85 CHABENAT Guillaume - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
86 REBELLO Derek - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
87 MOL Justin - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
88 YU Casey 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
89 BODKIN Jake M. 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
90 LIU Yizhe (Andy) 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
91 BOUKHTIN Maxim - 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
92 HOOLE Colson - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
93 LO Andrew T. - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
94 KLEBS Robert - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
95 BRUTUS Caleb - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 9%
96 LESUEUR Luke J. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
97 HILL Quillan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
98 WANG William 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
99 COUNTS Nicholas 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
99 BHATIA Ekam 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
101 HUSTON Theodore - 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 1%
102 WALKE Devin - 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
103 VAUGHN Jason - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
104 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
105 RAMTEKKAR Soham 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 6%
106 KO Zuriel 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
107 ZHOU William 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
108 GREMILLION Obadiah 2% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
109 MORINAKA Kenison 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
110 TIAGI Daniel - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
111 HE Bowen 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
112 GIANETTO Ethan K. - - 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
113 PERRON Robert - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
114 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
115 CHEN Ryan 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
116 MISHRA Aadi 1% 17% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
117 UYANIK Muhammet 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
118 OLOUGHLIN Quin 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% - -
119 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
120 GONZALEZ Jake - 4% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
121 WANG Max 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
122 BENDER Nathan 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
123 FERGUSON Constantine 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 7% 1%
124 XU Justin 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
125 KAUFFMAN Alex 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
126 YOU Jaden 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
127 ARORA Pranav 75% 22% 3% - - -
128 LI Seth 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
129 JENSBY Jason 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
129 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 2% 24% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
131 RODRIGUEZ Erik - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
132 KAPOOR Tanmay 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
133 STENCEL Andrew E. 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
134 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
135 BOSITA Ethan 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
136 DOLEV Ido 1% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
137 PARKILA Lukas 1% 15% 40% 33% 10% 1% -
138 TSAI Michael T. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
139 FERTIL Ethan 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
140 KORINTH Alexander J. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
141 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 1% 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
142 WANG Michael 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
143 BROWN Oscar 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
144 PARK Caleb 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
145 TUNG Ryan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
146 SHAH Sohan 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
147 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 10% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
148 FANG Eason - 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% -
149 ZHONG Xuan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
150 DIMATTEO Michael 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
151 GARCIA Evan 12% 32% 34% 17% 5% 1% -
152 KOTVALI Aneesh 10% 45% 34% 9% 1% - -
153 TERENTIEV Max 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
154 KWON Kenneth 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
155 XU James 15% 46% 31% 8% 1% - -
156 MCDANIEL Luke 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
157 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
158 BARROWS Hunter 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
159 CHAN Elliott 8% 31% 40% 18% 3% - -
160 BROCKMEYER Tyler 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
161 JOHNSON Kai 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
162 CAISSE Michael J. 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
163 SCHIMEL Luke 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
164 HENDERSON Jack 1% 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
165 MILLS Matthew P. 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
166 WEBB Rohan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
167 CHEN Jeremy 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
168 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
169 TAN Ryan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
170 WELLER Noah 20% 42% 28% 9% 1% - -
171 BECHTEL Trent 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
172 MENG Michael 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
173 MENDOZA Christian 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
173 CAUTHRON Oliver 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% - -
175 GOEDDEKE Brendan 36% 43% 18% 3% - - -
176 FARIDI Imran 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
177 JOHNSON Tre 15% 35% 32% 14% 4% - -
178 CENTENO Zachary 9% 37% 36% 15% 3% - -
179 PODDAR Shameek 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
179 RIESTERER Jacob 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
181 MAMKIN Nathan 81% 17% 1% - - - -
182 BATTISFORE Hunter - 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
183 TEVEBAUGH Andrew < 1% 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
184 WEINSTEIN Nate 24% 44% 25% 6% -
185 COPELAND Jackson 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
186 CHEN Jeffrey 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1% -
187 AKST Elliot 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
187 SU Ji 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
187 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
190 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
190 RIDEOUT aiden 81% 17% 1% - - - -
192 BIESIADA Jacek W. 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
193 ENRIGHT Isaac 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
194 PENG Victor 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
195 ANDERSON Donald 76% 22% 2% - - - -
195 MARTIN Quincy 51% 39% 9% 1% - - -
195 PATIL Ronit 94% 6% - - - - -
198 SHIH William 63% 32% 5% - - - -
198 AHLMAN Jason 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.