National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div III Men's Saber

Wednesday, July 5, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SAVOY Luca 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
2 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
5 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
6 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
7 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 7%
8 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
9 WONG James T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
10 RAMANAN Govind 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
11 KANG Evan 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
12 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
13 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
14 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
15 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
16 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
17 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
18 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 21%
19 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
19 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% < 1%
21 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
21 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
23 LO Bradley 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
24 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
25 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
26 NIETO Titus P. 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
27 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
28 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
29 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
30 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
31 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
32 WU Richard 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
33 TAN Ethan 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% < 1%
34 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13%
35 CHAN Aidan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
35 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
35 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
38 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
39 LIN Felix 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
40 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
41 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
42 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
43 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
44 KERCHER Alexander 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
44 HO Jacob 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
46 BYON Julian 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
47 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
47 GAY Jono 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
47 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
50 LAUB William 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 10% 1%
52 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
53 AUTREY Adrien 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
54 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
55 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
56 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
57 SHAH Sajan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
58 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
59 RYABKOV Stanislav 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
60 WEN Edward 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
61 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
62 STURGEON Cole 100% 77% 33% 7% 1%
63 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
64 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
65 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
66 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
67 HERRERA aragon 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
68 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
69 ZHOU James Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
70 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
71 CRAIG Andrew 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
72 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
73 XU Ivan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
74 LIM Brandon 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
75 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
76 LUCAS Hayden 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
77 WANG HongXi 100% 99% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
78 YANG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
79 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 16%
79 YU Kevin 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
81 TIAGI George 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
82 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
83 GUREVICH Savely 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
84 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
85 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
86 REBELLO Derek 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
87 MOL Justin 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
88 YU Casey 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
89 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
90 LIU Yizhe (Andy) 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
91 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
92 HOOLE Colson 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
93 LO Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 17%
94 KLEBS Robert 100% 100% 96% 83% 54% 22% 4%
95 BRUTUS Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
96 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
97 HILL Quillan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
98 WANG William 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
99 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
99 BHATIA Ekam 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
101 HUSTON Theodore 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
102 WALKE Devin 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
103 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 22% 4%
104 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
105 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
106 KO Zuriel 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
107 ZHOU William 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
108 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 98% 69% 29% 6% 1% -
109 MORINAKA Kenison 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
110 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
111 HE Bowen 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
112 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 7%
113 PERRON Robert 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
114 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
115 CHEN Ryan 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
116 MISHRA Aadi 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
117 UYANIK Muhammet 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
118 OLOUGHLIN Quin 100% 94% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
119 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
120 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
121 WANG Max 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
122 BENDER Nathan 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
123 FERGUSON Constantine 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
124 XU Justin 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
125 KAUFFMAN Alex 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
126 YOU Jaden 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
127 ARORA Pranav 100% 25% 3% - - -
128 LI Seth 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
129 JENSBY Jason 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
129 SCHWIEBERT Harrison 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
131 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
132 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
133 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
134 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
135 BOSITA Ethan 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
136 DOLEV Ido 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1% -
137 PARKILA Lukas 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
138 TSAI Michael T. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
139 FERTIL Ethan 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
140 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 1%
141 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
142 WANG Michael 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
143 BROWN Oscar 100% 90% 59% 26% 6% 1% -
144 PARK Caleb 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
145 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
146 SHAH Sohan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
147 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
148 FANG Eason 100% 100% 93% 63% 22% 3% -
149 ZHONG Xuan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
150 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
151 GARCIA Evan 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
152 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 90% 45% 10% 1% - -
153 TERENTIEV Max 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
154 KWON Kenneth 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
155 XU James 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% - -
156 MCDANIEL Luke 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% -
157 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
158 BARROWS Hunter 100% 82% 42% 11% 2% - -
159 CHAN Elliott 100% 92% 61% 21% 3% - -
160 BROCKMEYER Tyler 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
161 JOHNSON Kai 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
162 CAISSE Michael J. 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
163 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
164 HENDERSON Jack 100% 99% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
165 MILLS Matthew P. 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
166 WEBB Rohan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
167 CHEN Jeremy 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
168 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
169 TAN Ryan 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
170 WELLER Noah 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
171 BECHTEL Trent 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
172 MENG Michael 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
173 MENDOZA Christian 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
173 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
175 GOEDDEKE Brendan 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
176 FARIDI Imran 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
177 JOHNSON Tre 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
178 CENTENO Zachary 100% 91% 54% 18% 3% - -
179 PODDAR Shameek 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% - -
179 RIESTERER Jacob 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
181 MAMKIN Nathan 100% 19% 1% - - - -
182 BATTISFORE Hunter 100% 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
183 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
184 WEINSTEIN Nate 100% 76% 32% 6% -
185 COPELAND Jackson 100% 73% 29% 6% - - -
186 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
187 AKST Elliot 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
187 SU Ji 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
187 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
190 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
190 RIDEOUT aiden 100% 19% 1% - - - -
192 BIESIADA Jacek W. 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
193 ENRIGHT Isaac 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
194 PENG Victor 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
195 ANDERSON Donald 100% 24% 2% - - - -
195 MARTIN Quincy 100% 49% 10% 1% - - -
195 PATIL Ronit 100% 6% - - - - -
198 SHIH William 100% 37% 5% - - - -
198 AHLMAN Jason 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.