National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Women's Saber

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
2 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 7%
3 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
3 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
6 DAI Olivia 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
7 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
8 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
9 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3%
10 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
11 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
12 CHIN Elise 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
13 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
14 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
15 ISBERG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
16 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
17 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
18 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
18 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
18 CHO Michelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
21 TREACY Aisling 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
22 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
23 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
24 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
24 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 99% 94% 77% 47% 18% 3%
24 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
27 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
28 TUNG Renee 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
29 TODD Phoebe 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
30 TAN Adelyn 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 2%
31 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
32 WILSON Eva 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4%
33 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
34 LITTLE Avery 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
35 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
35 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 9%
35 ZHANG Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
38 FREY Sarah E. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
39 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
40 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
41 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 2%
41 LI Alexis 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
43 YOUNG Audrey 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
44 YAM Danika 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
45 REN Xinling 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
46 PRAXL Alexa R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
47 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
47 SCHICK Veronica 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
49 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
50 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
51 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
52 CHAN Kayla 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
53 BROWNER June 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
54 LEE Lauren 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
55 NAYAK Anika 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
56 HUANG MADELINE 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
57 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
58 REGANTI Sitara 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
59 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
60 SPEARS Mya B 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
61 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
62 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
63 STONE Coral 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 5%
64 ELLIS-FURLONG Ava 100% 87% 48% 15% 2% - -
65 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
66 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 100% 100% 95% 80% 47% 14%
67 COLTER Aurora 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
68 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
69 CHI Claire 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
70 BAINS Nandini 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
71 SCHOEW Margot 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
72 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
73 BAWA Anahat 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 2%
74 ZHENG Valentina 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
75 FAN Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 5%
76 MCNALLY Teagan 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
77 ZHAN Sophie 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
78 CAO Sophie 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
79 DEHON Inès 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
80 DONDERIS Katherine 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
81 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
81 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
83 NEUMAN Ella 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
84 BANGALORE Shriya 100% 81% 33% 5% - - -
85 GARRETT Madrid 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
86 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 100% 91% 63% 26% 5%
87 PABIAN Emilia 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
88 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% -
89 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
90 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
91 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
92 HUANG Neila 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
93 LUKER Hannah 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
94 CHOU Zoe 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
95 DUCKETT Leighton 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
96 CROOKS Riley 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
96 SADANI Jyotika 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2% -
98 LEUNG Ashlyn K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
99 RANJAN Diya 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
100 DEBERTIN Beth 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
101 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
102 LIU Hannah 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
103 VERWEST Melissa 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
104 CHEN Kevy 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
105 JEAN Emmanuelle C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
106 BUCKHOUSE Talia 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
107 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
108 SHEARER Alena 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
109 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
110 NAYAK Esha 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
111 KORINTH Jacqueline 100% 94% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
112 SUHALIM Maree 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
113 VANKIRK Avery 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
114 COLBY Mercer 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
115 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 95% 64% 19% 2% - -
116 KIM Caitlin 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
117 IYER Arushi 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
118 MORGAN Lily 100% 57% 13% 1% - - -
119 HOAGLAND Simone 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
119 ZHOU Ziling 100% 80% 39% 11% 2% - -
121 HERMAN Sabrina 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
122 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 89% 42% 10% 1% - -
123 ROOPRAI Amarjot 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
124 FORD-BURRIS Zooey 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
125 DUCKETT Retta 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
126 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 21% 2% - - -
127 ABDULLAHI Saara 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
127 RIESTERER Katherine 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
127 CHOI Sophie Grace 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
130 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
131 MARTIN Audrey 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
131 SIMS Addy 100% 34% 5% - - - -
133 SEELIG Samantha 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
134 LAZO Emily 100% 57% 17% 3% - - -
134 TERP Lucy 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% - -
136 VILD Grace 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.