National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel - - - - 1% 12% 88%
2 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 KWALWASSER Eric - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
3 CHUNG Connor - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
5 LEE Noah - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
6 PATEL Rayn - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
7 KALPATHY Rohit - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
8 LI Howard - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
9 SU Landon - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
9 TSE Aiden J - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
9 NG Jonathan - - 2% 10% 31% 40% 18%
12 TAO Jeffrey - - - 1% 6% 30% 63%
13 LIU Kevin - - - 4% 22% 44% 30%
14 WANG daniel - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
15 VAID Luke - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
16 GONZALEZ Jake 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
17 KATZ Ryan - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
18 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
18 HUANG Alex F. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
20 CHOW William T. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
21 SOWERS Samuel - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
22 YAN William - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 7%
23 JOO Jeein - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
24 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
25 KIM ELIJAH - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
26 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
27 RAMTEKKAR Soham - 5% 23% 42% 25% 4%
28 GONG Jerry - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
29 KANG evan R. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
30 KANG Evan - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
31 OH Aster 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 2%
32 SUGIURA Samuel - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
33 LAUB William - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
34 LIN Maxim - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 26%
35 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
36 WITCZAK Mateus - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
36 BRANDT Jaden - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
36 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
39 KIM Ethan - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
40 BERA Enzo - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
41 HWANG Jayden - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 13%
42 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
43 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 13%
43 TIAGI George - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
45 SHIPITSIN Alexander - - 3% 18% 39% 31% 8%
46 BADUSHOV Anton 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
47 PASTORE LIU Vince - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
48 EYBELMAN Ariel - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
49 ERMAKOV Semeon - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
50 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
51 PI Alexander - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
51 SO Preston - - 2% 15% 36% 36% 11%
53 HUNG Samuel - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
54 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 20% 39% 30% 6%
55 ZHENG LEON - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
56 ZHAO Zhiyu - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 9%
57 HU Christopher - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
58 LIU Victor - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
59 CHON Collin - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
60 WANG Zhuoyi - 2% 12% 35% 40% 12%
61 WANG Justin - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
62 ZHAO Lucas - 5% 21% 39% 28% 7%
63 GAY Jono - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14% 1%
64 CHAMBERS Miles - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
65 YANG Dylan - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
66 LI Yiwei - - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
67 NGO Maximus 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 5% -
68 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
69 ANAND Rohan - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
70 MISHRA Aadi 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
71 LIM Brandon 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
72 YERRAMILLI Tejas - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
73 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
74 MEYERSON Jacob - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
75 LI Seth - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
76 LEE Andrew - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 11%
77 LIN Philip T. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 5%
78 ALAVE Kyle - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
79 YANG Phillip - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
80 TSAO Oliver - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
81 VILEMAITIS Tadas 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
82 TAN Ryan 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
83 MUNGUIA Nathan - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
84 YOOK Isaac 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
85 SIDDIQUI Shayan - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
86 YU Kevin 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
87 KWON Kenneth 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
88 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
89 ZLATINSKI Jason 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
90 BALE ATMAN 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
91 DOLEV Ido 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
92 SAGE Sebastian - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
93 UEMOTO Ken - 5% 20% 37% 28% 8% 1%
94 MENDOZA Christian 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
95 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
95 STURGEON Cole 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% -
97 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
98 TUNG Ryan - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
99 MATTOO Deven 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
100 MCDONALD Finn 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
100 KIM Kendrick 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
102 CAO Oliver 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
103 LI linze - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
104 CHEN Lohen 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
104 LIN Felix - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
106 RICHARDS Corey - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
107 BAI Evan 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
108 GERSTMANN Max T. - 1% 6% 20% 37% 30% 7%
109 WONG Lucas 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
110 SHA Walter 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
111 LI AYDEN - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 2%
112 PINTO Marcus - 4% 18% 36% 31% 9%
113 SANGSTER Arden 10% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
114 HUBLALL Ethan - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
115 SUBA Lucas 1% 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
116 KERCHER Alexander - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
116 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
118 HOLZ Lucas - 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
118 SUNG Julian - 5% 22% 39% 26% 7% 1%
120 CRAIG Andrew 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
121 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% -
122 HARDRICK Noah 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
123 PRIEUR Christian F. 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
124 WONG Caleb W. 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
125 ZHANG Kaixuan 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
126 GUAN Dennis - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
127 DE SIENA Salvatore 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
128 XU Ivan 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
129 ANDRES Michael - 1% 5% 23% 44% 27%
130 WANG Max 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
131 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
132 RONG Jasper 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
133 TANI Tino - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
134 SLEP Solomon 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
135 CHEN Ryan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
136 YU Casey 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
137 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
138 ZENG Vito 7% 30% 40% 19% 4% -
138 KAYDALIN David 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
140 KANG Matthew 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
141 TSATSAS Andreas 6% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
142 HRISTOV Kris - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
143 WANG Max 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
144 URSU Marcel T. - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 15%
145 CHEN Jonathan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
146 DOMINIQUE Remson - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
147 ONG Dylan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
148 SHAH Sohan 2% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
149 AUTREY Adrien 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
150 BIVIJI Ali - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
151 HALL Noah 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
152 BONETTI Brayden - 2% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
152 GREMILLION Obadiah 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
154 PARKILA Lukas 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% 1% -
154 BECHTEL Trent 7% 31% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
154 WANG Tiger 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
157 KROON Landon 11% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
158 TURNER Benjamin 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
159 CHI Everett 4% 21% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
160 OLOUGHLIN Quin 1% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2% -
161 SRIVATS Vedh - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 2%
162 MEDVINSKY Daniel - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
163 LIN Justin 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
164 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 3% 28% 42% 22% 5% - -
165 LEE Steven 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
166 CHAN Henry 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
167 KOZLOFF Wyatt 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% - -
168 RAJMOHAN Arya 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
169 SOKOLOV Arseniy 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
170 LEE Anderson 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
171 SZULIM Lucjan 20% 43% 29% 7% 1% -
172 ZHAO Royce 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
173 MALLETT Shane 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
174 KIM David - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
175 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 1% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
176 CAO Donald 2% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
177 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 23% 40% 27% 8% 1% - -
177 MEADE Liam R. 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
177 SARWAHI Viraat 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
177 FANG Eason 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
181 HE Bowen - 6% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
182 IYER Neil 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
183 LI Yidong A. 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
184 LEE Brady 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
184 BEKDJANOV Arthur 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
186 WELSTEAD Nicholas 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
187 WONG Ron 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
188 ZHANG Ray 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
189 ARISTOV Ilya - 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
190 SCHIMEL Luke 40% 40% 16% 3% - - -
191 LIU Yijin 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
192 GUREVICH Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
193 SINGHAL Armaan 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
194 BAGHERI Bijan 22% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
195 SASSI Ilyas 15% 38% 34% 12% 2% -
196 LAMTAN Christoffer 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
197 ANAND Rishab 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3%
198 PORTER Dupree 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
199 CRICOL Damian 4% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
200 HU Andrew 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
201 ZHOU William 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
202 HO Anson 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
203 AYDOGDU Hakan 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
204 CHAN Elliott 24% 42% 26% 8% 1% - -
204 BREUER Daniel 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% 1% -
206 SAKAYEDA Jacob 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
207 NAMBIAR Navin 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
208 SAMMI Mukul 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
209 LEIGH Edward 13% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
210 GREENSTEIN Viktor - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
211 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 1%
212 KANIA Alexander 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% - -
213 KIM Samuel 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
213 KOTVALI Aneesh 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
213 ZHU Matthew 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
216 HUO Ethan 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
217 CHANG Timothy 3% 26% 42% 24% 5% 1% -
218 COPELAND Jackson 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
219 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
220 XU James 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
221 LIU Aaron 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
222 BARRY Dave 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
223 CHEN Jeffrey 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
224 YOSHEA Henry 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
225 SEPUCHA Sam 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
226 LIN Lucas 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% -
227 GOMEZ Emilio 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
228 FENG Brendan 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
228 SHIH William 69% 27% 4% - - - -
230 TURECK Nathan 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
231 BRUM Charles E. 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
232 GARCIA Evan 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
233 YOUNG Navin 63% 31% 5% - - - -
233 LI Huangziyue 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
233 CAUTHRON Oliver 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
236 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 73% 24% 3% - - - -
237 YAO Zachary 68% 27% 4% - - - -
238 BALES Gabriel 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
239 FREILICH Harrison 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
239 WELLER Noah 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
241 LIAO Sirui 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
242 RINALDI Savio 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
243 HO Nathaniel 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
244 GONG Gavin 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.