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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-14 Men's Saber

Thursday, July 6, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88%
2 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
5 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
6 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
7 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
8 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
9 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
9 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
9 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
12 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
13 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
14 WANG daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
15 VAID Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
16 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
17 KATZ Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
18 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
18 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
20 CHOW William T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
21 SOWERS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
22 YAN William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
23 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
24 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
25 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
26 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
27 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 4%
28 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
29 KANG evan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
30 KANG Evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
31 OH Aster 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
32 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
33 LAUB William 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
34 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
35 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
36 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
36 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
36 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
39 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
40 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
41 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
42 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
43 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 13%
43 TIAGI George 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
45 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
46 BADUSHOV Anton 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
47 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
48 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
49 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
50 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
51 PI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
51 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
53 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
54 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 6%
55 ZHENG LEON 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
56 ZHAO Zhiyu 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
57 HU Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
58 LIU Victor 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
59 CHON Collin 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
60 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 12%
61 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
62 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
63 GAY Jono 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
64 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
65 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
66 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
67 NGO Maximus 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
68 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
69 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
70 MISHRA Aadi 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
71 LIM Brandon 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
72 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
73 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
74 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
75 LI Seth 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
76 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
77 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 5%
78 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
79 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 2%
80 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
81 VILEMAITIS Tadas 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% 1% -
82 TAN Ryan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
83 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
84 YOOK Isaac 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
85 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
86 YU Kevin 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
87 KWON Kenneth 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
88 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
89 ZLATINSKI Jason 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
90 BALE ATMAN 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
91 DOLEV Ido 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
92 SAGE Sebastian 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
93 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 9% 1%
94 MENDOZA Christian 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
95 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
95 STURGEON Cole 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
97 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
98 TUNG Ryan 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
99 MATTOO Deven 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
100 MCDONALD Finn 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
100 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
102 CAO Oliver 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
103 LI linze 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 16% 2%
104 CHEN Lohen 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
104 LIN Felix 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
106 RICHARDS Corey 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
107 BAI Evan 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
108 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
109 WONG Lucas 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
110 SHA Walter 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
111 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
112 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
113 SANGSTER Arden 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
114 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
115 SUBA Lucas 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 7% 1%
116 KERCHER Alexander 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
116 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
118 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
118 SUNG Julian 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 7% 1%
120 CRAIG Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
121 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
122 HARDRICK Noah 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
123 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
124 WONG Caleb W. 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
125 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
126 GUAN Dennis 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
127 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
128 XU Ivan 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
129 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
130 WANG Max 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
131 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
132 RONG Jasper 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
133 TANI Tino 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
134 SLEP Solomon 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
135 CHEN Ryan 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
136 YU Casey 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
137 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
138 ZENG Vito 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
138 KAYDALIN David 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
140 KANG Matthew 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
141 TSATSAS Andreas 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
142 HRISTOV Kris 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 7%
143 WANG Max 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
144 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
145 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
146 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16% 1%
147 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
148 SHAH Sohan 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
149 AUTREY Adrien 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
150 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
151 HALL Noah 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
152 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
152 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 92% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
154 PARKILA Lukas 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
154 BECHTEL Trent 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
154 WANG Tiger 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
157 KROON Landon 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
158 TURNER Benjamin 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
159 CHI Everett 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
160 OLOUGHLIN Quin 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
161 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
162 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
163 LIN Justin 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
164 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 100% 97% 69% 27% 5% - -
165 LEE Steven 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
166 CHAN Henry 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
167 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
168 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
169 SOKOLOV Arseniy 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
170 LEE Anderson 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
171 SZULIM Lucjan 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% -
172 ZHAO Royce 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
173 MALLETT Shane 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
174 KIM David 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
175 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 99% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
176 CAO Donald 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
177 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
177 MEADE Liam R. 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
177 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
177 FANG Eason 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
181 HE Bowen 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
182 IYER Neil 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
183 LI Yidong A. 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
184 LEE Brady 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
184 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
186 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
187 WONG Ron 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% - -
188 ZHANG Ray 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
189 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
190 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
191 LIU Yijin 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
192 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
193 SINGHAL Armaan 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
194 BAGHERI Bijan 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
195 SASSI Ilyas 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
196 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
197 ANAND Rishab 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
198 PORTER Dupree 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
199 CRICOL Damian 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
200 HU Andrew 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
201 ZHOU William 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
202 HO Anson 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
203 AYDOGDU Hakan 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
204 CHAN Elliott 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
204 BREUER Daniel 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
206 SAKAYEDA Jacob 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
207 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
208 SAMMI Mukul 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
209 LEIGH Edward 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% - -
210 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
211 BUIKEVICH Ihnat 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
212 KANIA Alexander 100% 95% 63% 25% 5% 1% -
213 KIM Samuel 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
213 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 68% 26% 5% - - -
213 ZHU Matthew 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
216 HUO Ethan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
217 CHANG Timothy 100% 97% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
218 COPELAND Jackson 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
219 JOUFFLINEAU Yohann 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
220 XU James 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
221 LIU Aaron 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
222 BARRY Dave 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
223 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
224 YOSHEA Henry 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
225 SEPUCHA Sam 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
226 LIN Lucas 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% -
227 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
228 FENG Brendan 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
228 SHIH William 100% 31% 4% - - - -
230 TURECK Nathan 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
231 BRUM Charles E. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
232 GARCIA Evan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
233 YOUNG Navin 100% 37% 6% - - - -
233 LI Huangziyue 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
233 CAUTHRON Oliver 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
236 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 27% 3% - - - -
237 YAO Zachary 100% 32% 4% - - - -
238 BALES Gabriel 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
239 FREILICH Harrison 100% 87% 49% 15% 2% - -
239 WELLER Noah 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
241 LIAO Sirui 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
242 RINALDI Savio 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
243 HO Nathaniel 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
244 GONG Gavin 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.