National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, July 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDHOLM Oliver S. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
2 PIWOWAR Alex - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
3 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
3 DALAL Rohan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
5 GINSBERG Jordan - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - - 8% 40% 52%
7 SHANKWILER Christopher - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
8 BARRIOS Diego - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
9 LEE Noah - 3% 15% 34% 35% 14%
10 EPSTEIN Oliver D. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3%
11 COVINGTON Max G. - - 1% 9% 29% 42% 18%
12 GUFFEY Christopher - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
13 LOPEZ Lucas M. - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
14 NOURELDIN Gabriel 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
15 MUNGUIA Nathan - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 4%
16 GIANETTO Ethan K. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
17 GREENBAUM Ian L. - - - 5% 24% 45% 25%
18 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 11% 32% 38% 16% 2%
19 BRUTUS Caleb - 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 3%
20 BOSITA Carson - - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
21 CHEN Jonathan 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
22 CHEONG Heonjun - 2% 13% 39% 42% 5%
22 LI Yiwei - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
24 WONG James T. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 4%
25 CAISSE Simon B. - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
26 REYES Xavier M. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
27 POSY Daniel - 2% 11% 26% 34% 21% 5%
28 SAVOY Luca 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
29 KIBBAR Tomer L. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
30 RYABKOV Stanislav 1% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
31 BONSELL Vance - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
33 HEINTZ Evin Y. - - - 1% 18% 80%
34 YAN Kevin - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
35 FERRARA Nicholas S. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
36 HAN Daniel Y. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
37 HONG Steven - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
38 AKS Ari - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
39 CHEEMA Hyder - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
40 GLOZMAN Justin - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
41 DELARUE NELSON Y. - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
41 TIAGI Daniel 5% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
43 RAMTEKKAR Soham 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
44 ZHU Charlie - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
45 ZHANG Ethan W. - 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2%
46 VENU Ram - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
47 KIM Kendrick - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9% -
48 GONZALEZ Jake 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
49 BRAKEY Ryan 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
50 WEN Edward - 2% 15% 37% 34% 12% 1%
51 TASIKAS Stylianos - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
52 BRANDT Jaden - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
53 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 6%
54 FOX Gavin - 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
55 AYALA Carlos - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
56 KIM ELIJAH - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
57 MARQUEZ Jeremy 2% 15% 38% 35% 10% -
58 LESUEUR Luke J. 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
59 FENKER William M. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
60 FANG Eason 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
61 DUDNICK Christian 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
62 DECK Tyson 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
63 ZHOU Aeres Z. - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
64 TAN Ethan 2% 15% 34% 31% 14% 3% -
65 ZHAO Lucas - 2% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
66 CHABENAT Guillaume 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
67 BOUKHTIN Maxim - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
68 RIGGINS Littleton K. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
69 LIU Kevin - - 2% 12% 38% 43% 5%
70 MEYERSON Jacob - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
71 PERRON Robert 2% 10% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
72 GOLDIN Lucca - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
73 KROON Lucas - - 4% 25% 51% 20%
74 ZHOU Miles - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
75 PARKER Timothy S. - 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
76 HUANG Tom - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
77 LIM Brandon 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
78 SHANKAR Karthik 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
79 POFF Kainoa - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
80 HUANG Zekai - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
81 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
82 SCHNEIDER Allen J. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
83 MOL Justin 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
84 ANAND Rohan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
85 CHOKSI Vihaan - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
86 HUSTON Theodore 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
87 LO Andrew T. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
88 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
89 WANG William 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% -
90 LAUB William 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
91 FORMENTI Giulio 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
92 CRAIG Andrew - 3% 40% 43% 12% 1%
93 KATZ Ryan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4%
94 TIAGI George 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
94 BHATIA Ekam 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1%
96 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
97 EDELMAN Seth A. - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
97 LUCAS Hayden 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
99 LIU Yizhe (Andy) - 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
100 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% -
101 TUNG Ryan 2% 16% 39% 31% 10% 1%
101 BOULAIS Andrew D. 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
103 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 6% 33% 40% 18% 3% -
104 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
105 STAMIS Kyle - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
106 FIRSTMAN William B. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
107 YAN Leonard Z. 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
108 LIN Philip T. 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
109 ZHOU James Y. 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
110 PARK Caleb 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
111 COUNTS Nicholas 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
112 JOHNSON Kai 25% 47% 23% 5% - - -
113 NIETO Titus P. 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
114 RODRIGUEZ Erik 8% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
115 KLEBS Robert 1% 14% 34% 34% 15% 3%
116 HOPPA Luke H. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
117 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
118 YANG Dylan - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
119 HOTHA Nikhil 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
120 LI Seth 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% -
121 HICHA Paul R. - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
122 BODKIN Jake M. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
123 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
124 TSAI Michael T. 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
125 MORINAKA Kenison 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
126 MONTALVO Emmeric 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
127 KO Zuriel 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1%
128 SIDDIQUI Shayan 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
129 MCDANIEL Luke 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
130 BEITEL Noah - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
131 HILL Quillan - 2% 31% 48% 17% 1%
132 MCCARTHY Devan - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
133 CAISSE Michael J. 40% 41% 16% 3% - -
134 MONTALVO ashur 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
135 MISHRA Aadi 4% 26% 42% 23% 5% -
136 GARCIA Evan 27% 45% 23% 5% - -
137 KAPOOR Tanmay 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
138 YOU Jaden - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
139 TAN Ryan 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
140 BENDER Nathan 12% 43% 34% 10% 1% - -
141 YU Kevin 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
142 XU Ivan 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
143 FARIDI Imran 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
144 LIN Felix - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
145 HENDERSON Jack 26% 47% 23% 4% - -
146 CHENG Hong - 4% 20% 40% 29% 7%
147 WEBER Mattias A. 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
148 DOLEV Ido 38% 43% 16% 3% - -
149 SHAH Sajan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
150 DIMATTEO Michael 10% 32% 37% 17% 4% -
151 WEBB Rohan 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
152 BYON Julian 3% 21% 41% 29% 6% -
153 ENRIGHT Isaac 32% 46% 19% 3% - -
154 MARTIN Quincy 40% 54% 6% - - -
155 STURGEON Cole 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
156 ZHOU William 2% 20% 43% 27% 7% 1% -
157 WALKE Devin 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
157 KAUFFMAN Alex 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
159 DESAUTELS Connor 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
160 KANG Evan 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
161 RIESTERER Jacob 12% 45% 32% 9% 1% - -
162 BECHTEL Trent 8% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
163 CHEN Jeremy 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
163 YANG Joshua - 3% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
165 WU Richard 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
166 VAUGHN Jason - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
167 GUREVICH Savely 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
168 ARORA Pranav 58% 35% 6% - - - -
168 GONG Jerry - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
170 BROWN Oscar 22% 39% 27% 10% 2% - -
171 BOSITA Ethan 11% 33% 36% 16% 4% - -
172 KOTVALI Aneesh 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
173 FERTIL Ethan 30% 43% 22% 5% - - -
174 MAY Griffin M. 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
174 REBELLO Derek 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
176 WANG Michael 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% -
177 CENTENO Zachary 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% -
178 CHEN Jeffrey 70% 26% 4% - - -
179 BARROWS Hunter 57% 35% 7% 1% - -
180 GOEDDEKE Brendan 76% 21% 2% - - - -
181 UYANIK Muhammet 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
181 WANG Max 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
183 RIDEOUT aiden 51% 46% 4% - - -
183 BATTISFORE Hunter 46% 39% 13% 2% - -
185 WALI Kaden 4% 30% 40% 20% 5% - -
186 BIESIADA Jacek W. 39% 45% 14% 2% - - -
187 WELLER Noah 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
188 JONES Dominic R. 57% 36% 7% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.