National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, July 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
2 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
3 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
5 GINSBERG Jordan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
6 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 52%
7 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
8 BARRIOS Diego 100% 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
9 LEE Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
10 EPSTEIN Oliver D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
11 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 18%
12 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
13 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
14 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
15 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
16 GIANETTO Ethan K. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
17 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
18 HUANG Alexander C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
19 BRUTUS Caleb 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
20 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
21 CHEN Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
22 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 5%
22 LI Yiwei 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23%
24 WONG James T. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
25 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
26 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
27 POSY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 26% 5%
28 SAVOY Luca 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
29 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
30 RYABKOV Stanislav 100% 99% 81% 45% 15% 3% -
31 BONSELL Vance 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
32 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
33 HEINTZ Evin Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
34 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
35 FERRARA Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
36 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
37 HONG Steven 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
38 AKS Ari 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
39 CHEEMA Hyder 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
40 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
41 DELARUE NELSON Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
41 TIAGI Daniel 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
43 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
44 ZHU Charlie 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
45 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
46 VENU Ram 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
47 KIM Kendrick 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% -
48 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
49 BRAKEY Ryan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
50 WEN Edward 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
51 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
52 BRANDT Jaden 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
53 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
54 FOX Gavin 100% 100% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
55 AYALA Carlos 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
56 KIM ELIJAH 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
57 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 98% 83% 45% 10% -
58 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
59 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
60 FANG Eason 100% 92% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
61 DUDNICK Christian 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
62 DECK Tyson 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
63 ZHOU Aeres Z. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
64 TAN Ethan 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
65 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
66 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
67 BOUKHTIN Maxim 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 8%
68 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 8%
69 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 5%
70 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
71 PERRON Robert 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
72 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
73 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 20%
74 ZHOU Miles 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
75 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
76 HUANG Tom 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
77 LIM Brandon 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
78 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
79 POFF Kainoa 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
80 HUANG Zekai 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
81 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
82 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
83 MOL Justin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
84 ANAND Rohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
85 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
86 HUSTON Theodore 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
87 LO Andrew T. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
88 MARKOWITZ Jonathan 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
89 WANG William 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% -
90 LAUB William 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
91 FORMENTI Giulio 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
92 CRAIG Andrew 100% 100% 96% 57% 13% 1%
93 KATZ Ryan 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
94 TIAGI George 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
94 BHATIA Ekam 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1%
96 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
97 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
97 LUCAS Hayden 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
99 LIU Yizhe (Andy) 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6%
100 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
101 TUNG Ryan 100% 98% 82% 42% 11% 1%
101 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
103 BURGESS-LINDEN Ian 100% 94% 61% 21% 3% -
104 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -
105 STAMIS Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
106 FIRSTMAN William B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
107 YAN Leonard Z. 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
108 LIN Philip T. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
109 ZHOU James Y. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
110 PARK Caleb 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
111 COUNTS Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2% -
112 JOHNSON Kai 100% 75% 28% 5% 1% - -
113 NIETO Titus P. 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5%
114 RODRIGUEZ Erik 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
115 KLEBS Robert 100% 99% 85% 51% 18% 3%
116 HOPPA Luke H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
117 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2%
118 YANG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
119 HOTHA Nikhil 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
120 LI Seth 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
121 HICHA Paul R. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
122 BODKIN Jake M. 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
123 BELLA JARO Marcus Vincent 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
124 TSAI Michael T. 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
125 MORINAKA Kenison 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
126 MONTALVO Emmeric 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1%
127 KO Zuriel 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1%
128 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
129 MCDANIEL Luke 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
130 BEITEL Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
131 HILL Quillan 100% 100% 98% 67% 18% 1%
132 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
133 CAISSE Michael J. 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
134 MONTALVO ashur 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% -
135 MISHRA Aadi 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
136 GARCIA Evan 100% 73% 28% 5% 1% -
137 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
138 YOU Jaden 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
139 TAN Ryan 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
140 BENDER Nathan 100% 88% 46% 11% 1% - -
141 YU Kevin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
142 XU Ivan 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% - -
143 FARIDI Imran 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
144 LIN Felix 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
145 HENDERSON Jack 100% 74% 27% 5% - -
146 CHENG Hong 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
147 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
148 DOLEV Ido 100% 62% 18% 3% - -
149 SHAH Sajan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
150 DIMATTEO Michael 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
151 WEBB Rohan 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
152 BYON Julian 100% 97% 77% 35% 6% -
153 ENRIGHT Isaac 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
154 MARTIN Quincy 100% 60% 6% - - -
155 STURGEON Cole 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
156 ZHOU William 100% 98% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
157 WALKE Devin 100% 98% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
157 KAUFFMAN Alex 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% - -
159 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
160 KANG Evan 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
161 RIESTERER Jacob 100% 88% 42% 10% 1% - -
162 BECHTEL Trent 100% 92% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
163 CHEN Jeremy 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
163 YANG Joshua 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
165 WU Richard 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
166 VAUGHN Jason 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
167 GUREVICH Savely 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
168 ARORA Pranav 100% 42% 7% - - - -
168 GONG Jerry 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
170 BROWN Oscar 100% 78% 39% 12% 2% - -
171 BOSITA Ethan 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
172 KOTVALI Aneesh 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
173 FERTIL Ethan 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
174 MAY Griffin M. 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5%
174 REBELLO Derek 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
176 WANG Michael 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
177 CENTENO Zachary 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
178 CHEN Jeffrey 100% 30% 4% - - -
179 BARROWS Hunter 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
180 GOEDDEKE Brendan 100% 24% 2% - - - -
181 UYANIK Muhammet 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
181 WANG Max 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
183 RIDEOUT aiden 100% 49% 4% - - -
183 BATTISFORE Hunter 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
185 WALI Kaden 100% 96% 66% 25% 5% - -
186 BIESIADA Jacek W. 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
187 WELLER Noah 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
188 JONES Dominic R. 100% 43% 7% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.