National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Joy - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
2 WANG JiaQi - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 ZHANG Ashley - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
3 LONG Jessie - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
5 NEMORIN Rei - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
6 JIANG Evelyn - - 4% 17% 41% 38%
7 WANG Emily 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
8 MAK Jayden 1% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
9 XU Elaine - 2% 13% 33% 35% 14% 2%
10 YU Skylar 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 4%
11 ZHU Avril - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
12 ZHANG Olivia - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 7%
13 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
14 REN Katherine - 1% 10% 29% 40% 20%
15 WANG Tina - - 3% 20% 47% 30%
16 HU Heidi - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
17 HU Ashley - 2% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6%
18 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
19 PATEL Maia 2% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
20 CHEN Cindy 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
21 KIM Grace - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
22 SCHMIDT Yehna 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
23 NGUYEN Summer - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
24 MULLER Inara - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
25 YU Stella - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
26 CHOI Charlotte 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
27 KIM Saeren 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
28 TA-ZHOU Sophia - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
29 BURGESS Brees 11% 39% 37% 11% 1% -
30 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
31 CHOWDHERY Myra 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
32 STANLEY Garance - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
33 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 1% 5% 21% 36% 29% 8%
34 CHANG Kaitlyn 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
35 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
36 CLAIANU Adriana 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
37 BRIMMER Bella 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
38 HWANG Sophie 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
39 CAI Joanna - - 3% 21% 47% 28%
40 LONG Chloe - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
41 WANG April 7% 34% 42% 15% 2% -
42 LAUREYNS Ainsley - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
43 FAN Tina - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
44 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous - 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
44 SUTHERLAND Sadie 14% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
46 YANG Felicia 4% 21% 36% 27% 11% 2% -
47 BEATEY Piper 2% 17% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
48 MERRITT Annabelle - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
49 YOUNG Sienna - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
50 WANG Keira 9% 30% 35% 19% 6% 1% -
51 LEE Elise 5% 28% 41% 21% 5% - -
52 KATZ Emma - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
53 QIU Abigail - 4% 23% 43% 25% 4%
54 POWERS Waverly 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
55 CHANG Kylie - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
56 OLESKY Ellie - 1% 9% 25% 36% 23% 5%
57 BABB Virginia 15% 43% 31% 10% 1% - -
58 BOLTON Faith - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
59 CONG Catherine 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
60 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% -
61 DUDNICK Caitlin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
62 CHI Alicia 5% 28% 39% 22% 5% 1% -
63 LIU Adelina 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
64 CHACKO Anne 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
65 ROSTHOLDER Hannah - 2% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
66 SHAW Annabelle 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% -
67 MULAY Arya 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
68 PARAISO Isabella 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
69 SHI Maxine 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
69 CHANG Grace 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
71 GUO YUKI 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
71 HILE Violet 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
73 CHENG Anna - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 3%
74 WU Amelie 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
75 CORD Sophia 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
76 MEADE Kaia G. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
77 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 5% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
78 ESTEVES ZOE 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% -
79 WEI Levana 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
80 MALUKI Nia - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
81 KENNEDY Elizabeth 32% 43% 21% 4% - - -
82 SMITH Genevieve 43% 40% 15% 3% - - -
83 BAO Amelia - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 7%
83 TANG Athena 47% 38% 13% 2% - - -
85 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
86 KANIA Brigitte 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
87 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 43% 42% 13% 1% - -
88 WINSLOW Zaria 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
89 MADAMINOVA Ariadna 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
89 KIM Erin Sihyo 41% 43% 14% 2% - - -
91 CORTEZ Hadley Kate 44% 40% 13% 2% - -
92 ZHAO Audrey < 1% 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.