National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Women's Saber

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
3 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
5 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
7 WANG Emily 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
8 MAK Jayden 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
9 XU Elaine 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
10 YU Skylar 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
11 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
12 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7%
13 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
14 REN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
15 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
16 HU Heidi 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
17 HU Ashley 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
18 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
19 PATEL Maia 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 2% -
20 CHEN Cindy 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
21 KIM Grace 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
22 SCHMIDT Yehna 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
23 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
24 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
25 YU Stella 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
26 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
27 KIM Saeren 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
28 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
29 BURGESS Brees 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% -
30 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
31 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
32 STANLEY Garance 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
33 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
34 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
35 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
36 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
37 BRIMMER Bella 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
38 HWANG Sophie 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 10% 1%
39 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 28%
40 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
41 WANG April 100% 93% 58% 17% 2% -
42 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
43 FAN Tina 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
44 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
44 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
46 YANG Felicia 100% 96% 76% 40% 13% 2% -
47 BEATEY Piper 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
48 MERRITT Annabelle 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
49 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
50 WANG Keira 100% 91% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
51 LEE Elise 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% - -
52 KATZ Emma 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
53 QIU Abigail 100% 100% 95% 72% 29% 4%
54 POWERS Waverly 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
55 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
56 OLESKY Ellie 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
57 BABB Virginia 100% 85% 42% 11% 1% - -
58 BOLTON Faith 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
59 CONG Catherine 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
60 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
61 DUDNICK Caitlin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
62 CHI Alicia 100% 95% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
63 LIU Adelina 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
64 CHACKO Anne 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
65 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
66 SHAW Annabelle 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
67 MULAY Arya 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
68 PARAISO Isabella 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
69 SHI Maxine 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
69 CHANG Grace 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
71 GUO YUKI 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
71 HILE Violet 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
73 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
74 WU Amelie 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 9% 1%
75 CORD Sophia 100% 98% 86% 54% 21% 4% -
76 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
77 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1%
78 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
79 WEI Levana 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
80 MALUKI Nia 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
81 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
82 SMITH Genevieve 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -
83 BAO Amelia 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
83 TANG Athena 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
85 SCHAMBERGER Amelia 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
86 KANIA Brigitte 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
87 BRAN ROSADO Victoria 100% 57% 15% 1% - -
88 WINSLOW Zaria 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
89 MADAMINOVA Ariadna 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
89 KIM Erin Sihyo 100% 59% 16% 2% - - -
91 CORTEZ Hadley Kate 100% 56% 16% 2% - -
92 ZHAO Audrey 100% 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.