National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, July 8, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
2 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
5 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63%
5 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
7 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
7 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
9 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
9 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
12 TANI Tino 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
13 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
14 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
15 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
16 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
17 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
18 OH Aster 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
18 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
20 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
21 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
22 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
23 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
24 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
25 LEE Brady 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
26 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
27 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
28 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
29 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
30 CHEN Cooper 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
31 CHEN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
32 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 6%
33 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
34 LI linze 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
35 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
36 LOO Jason 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
37 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 20%
38 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 2%
39 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
40 KROON Landon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
40 RONG Jasper 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
42 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
43 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
44 LUCAS William 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18% 1%
45 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
46 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
47 BAI Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
48 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
49 SASSI Ilyas 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
50 LIU Yijin 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
51 WANG Tiger 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
52 BEKDJANOV Arthur 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
53 WEI Rian 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 4%
54 SANCHEZ Jacob 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
55 XU Yixiao 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 15%
56 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
57 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
58 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
59 WINTERSET Mason 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
60 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
61 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
62 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
63 FENG Brendan 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
64 MEADE Liam R. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
65 MORGAN Abrahm H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
66 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
67 ONG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
68 CAO Donald 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
69 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
70 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
71 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
71 IM Tyler 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
73 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
74 WANG Alex 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
75 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
76 RINALDI Savio 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
77 LI Huangziyue 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
78 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
79 KOVACHEV Martin 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
80 HUCHWAJDA Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
81 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
82 MINASIAN Mason 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
83 GUAN Adam 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
84 WONG Max 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
85 IYER Neil 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
86 IVRON Daniel 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
87 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 24% 4%
88 WONG Ron 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
89 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
90 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
91 VALENCIA Jose 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
91 ZHANG Richard Y. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
93 BADMUS Joshua 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
93 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 1%
95 BURRES kenneth 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
96 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
97 BOLLU Viren 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
98 LUO Leonard 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
99 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
99 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
101 CHENG Sawyer 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
102 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
102 LIN Brendan 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
104 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
105 BOSITA Brennan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
106 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
106 HUO Ethan 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
108 LEMERY Marc 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
109 AZADPOUR Arvin 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 10% 1%
110 BIVIJI Adam 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
110 MHLEY Gavin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
112 GU Andrew 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15% 1%
113 LI Ryan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
114 HARDRICK Noah 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
115 NA Yuchan Zachary 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
116 HU Andrew 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
117 YUEN Caleb 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
117 ZHAO Aidan 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
119 BRUM Charles E. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
120 FU BRANDEN 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
121 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
122 CAI fungyu 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
123 GORDON Samuel 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
124 QI Jeremy 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
125 LIN Alex 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
126 KAYDALIN David 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
127 CHEN Boaz 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
128 CHANG Timothy 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
129 CHENHE YuHan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
130 OU Rigel 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
131 WANG Edward 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% -
132 WANG Kyle 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
132 YU Ian 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
134 ARVIND Adhijay 100% 97% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
135 CHI Everett 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
136 SAGE Nikolai 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
137 BARRY Dave 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
138 OREN Daniel 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
139 JI Johnson 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
140 SHINCHUK Jacob 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% -
141 LUC Cedric 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
142 KIM Yusung 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
143 HU Harry 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
144 YAO Zachary 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
144 CHEN Aaron 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
144 BURGESS Beckham 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
147 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
148 HO Alden 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
149 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 7% -
149 SO Dylan 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
151 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
151 KAUL Ishaan 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
151 YOUNG Navin 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
154 ROBINSON Ezra 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
155 BROOKS Drake 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
156 SAYAR Luke 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
157 SOULES-ONO Makoa 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
157 VAN ROY Ray 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% - -
159 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
160 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
161 LEE Damian 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
162 FOUX Jonathan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
163 SETH Khalen 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
164 GEIGER Isaac 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
165 PAUL James 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
166 XIAO haoyu 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 1%
167 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
168 CHOU Qianhao 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
169 SO Morgan 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
170 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
171 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 19% 3%
171 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
171 SUH Leo 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
171 ZHU Matthew 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
175 LIANG Preston 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
176 LIU Ethan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
177 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
177 LO Lei 100% 97% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
179 MALEK Zak 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
180 PAI Ayan 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
181 MANNINO Miller 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
182 WARD Carter 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% - -
182 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 93% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
184 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
184 YANG Justin 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
186 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
186 CHIANG Tyson 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
188 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
189 LEE Blake 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
190 AVERY Marcus 100% 89% 59% 25% 7% 1% -
190 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
192 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
193 YPHANTIDES Alexander 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
194 MIAO Heqi 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
194 ZHANG Aiden 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
194 CHEN Brian 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
194 YOUNG Parker 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
194 GUO Jonathan 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
199 LEE Lucas 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
200 SAUVE Quinn 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
201 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
201 LIU Ryan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
203 O’LOUGHLIN Jacob 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
204 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
205 KANIA Alexander 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
205 SRIVATSAV Anay 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
207 BURRES stuart 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
208 HAN Kyle 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% - -
209 KUMAR Avinash 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
210 MAI Ryan 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
211 BRISENO Ethan 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 5% -
211 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
213 SONG Nicholas 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
213 EARLEY Jack 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
213 LYU Tyler 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.