Adam Guan

2011

Nellya Fencers

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 16 14 17 3 - 50
Losses 9 26 23 10 - 68
Win Ratio 64.0% 35.0% 42.5% 23.1% - 42.4%
Pool Victories 9 12 15 2 - 38
Pool Losses 6 20 17 8 - 51
Pool Win Ratio 60.0% 37.5% 46.9% 20.0% - 42.7%
DE Victories 7 2 2 1 - 12
DE Losses 3 6 6 2 - 17
DE Win Ratio 70.0% 25.0% 25.0% 33.3% - 41.4%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 9 8 10 2 - 29
Easy wins as % of wins 56.2% 57.1% 58.8% 66.7% - 58.0%
Close wins‡ 3 3 1 - - 7
Close wins as % of all wins 18.8% 21.4% 5.9% 0.0% - 14.0%
Close losses‡ 3 5 2 1 - 11
Close losses as % of all losses 33.3% 19.2% 8.7% 10.0% - 16.2%
Big losses† 3 9 13 4 - 29
Big losses as % of all losses 33.3% 34.6% 56.5% 40.0% - 42.6%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 3 6 6 2 - 17
Tournaments 2 5 5 2 - 14

Competition History

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), October 15, 2023
Place 3, Seed 14, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 GONG Johnny 4 U 27 Sigma Fencing Academy 562 1295 4.0 88%
Pool W 5:2 BADMUS David 18 U 24 Capital Fencing Academy 721 1299 5.5 83%
Pool W 5:4 YANG Justin 24 U 17 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1150 1304 11.6 60%
Pool L 2:5 HENRY Cadel 6 U 2 Forge Fencing Teams 1700 1316 7.8 27%
Pool L 2:5 BUKZIN Alan 28 U 13 Nova Fencing Club 899 1308 21.3 74%
T32 W 15:5 MOORE Blaise 15 U 19 Forge Fencing Teams 1160 1705 16.8 76%
T16 W 15:11 LIU Jayden 13 U 9 Capital Fencing Academy 1803 1722 43.2 45%
T8 W 15:3 HUANG Ziyi 11 U 8 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1810 1765 37.3 47%
T4 L 12:15 HENRY Cadel 6 U 2 Forge Fencing Teams 2426 1802 13.2 16%

The Bull City RJCC, RYC & Y8

Y-14 Men's Saber (U, Y14), October 14, 2023
Place 24, Seed 38, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 LIU Jayden 12 U 20 Capital Fencing Academy 1344 1314 14.7 48%
Pool L 1:5 XU Ivan 3 72 E22 9 Miracle Fencing Club 1585 1299 10.0 32%
Pool W 5:1 XU Princeton 18 U 33 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 980 1289 9.3 69%
Pool L 4:5 YANG Justin 17 U 36 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1155 1298 17.8 59%
Pool W 5:4 KANE Kiran 32 U 25 Nova Fencing Club 1286 1280 14.2 50%
T64 W 15:9 LEMERY Marc 16 U 41 Capital Fencing Academy 1266 1720 21.7 75%
T32 L 4:15 LIU Aaron 5 92 E23 6 Nellya Fencers 1853 1742 36.7 43%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC / RJCC - Saber Only

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), September 9, 2023
Place 2, Seed 9, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 HU Harry 1 50 U 1 Nellya Fencers 1848 1267 6.2 17%
Pool W 5:1 LYU Tyler 22 U 14 Sigma Fencing Academy 1109 1261 12.9 60%
Pool W 5:3 ALLEN Paxton 17 U 20 Miracle Fencing Club 743 1274 6.7 80%
Pool W 5:1 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 8 U 19 Alle Fencing Club 1497 1281 17.4 38%
Pool W 5:1 ZILLER Rowan 19 U 18 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1316 1298 15.6 49%
T16 W 15:5 CAO HAOTIAN 7 U 13 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1554 1508 54.5 47%
T8 W 15:5 MOELLER Felix 20 U 6 Sigma Fencing Academy 2051 1562 82.8 23%
T4 W 15:8 BRISENO Ethan 21 U 3 Nellya Fencers 2330 1645 94.3 14%
T2 L 7:15 HU Harry 1 50 U 1 Nellya Fencers 2280 1740 19.5 20%

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Men's Saber (D1, Y12), July 8, 2023
Place 83, Seed 157, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 GERTSBERG Eli 94 110 U 167 Dynamo Fencing Center Inc. 1487 1215 24.2 33%
Pool L 3:5 WANG Tiger 31 32 U 51 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1838 1239 6.3 16%
Pool W 5:2 WONG Max 93 109 U 84 Manhattan Fencing Center 1620 1232 26.1 26%
Pool L 4:5 IYER Neil 32 36 U 85 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1604 1259 9.9 28%
Pool W 5:4 PAUL James 156 U 165 Capital Fencing Academy 1339 1249 18.5 44%
T128 L 12:15 SASSI Ilyas 78 90 U 49 Zeta Fencing 1884 1544 36.3 30%

March NAC and Parafencing National Championships

Y-12 Men's Saber (D1, Y12), March 5, 2023
Place 109, Seed 135, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 GRIGORYAN Sevak 170 U 166 Fencing Academy Of Boston 1738 1198 31.6 20%
Pool L 2:5 LEE Brady 37 40 U 40 Globus Fencing Academy 1673 1229 9.2 23%
Pool L 4:5 MERMEGAS Alexander 66 73 U 91 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1841 1220 6.4 15%
Pool W 5:2 PARK Emerson 116 U 158 1149 1214 16.5 54%
Pool L 0:5 HARDRICK Noah 85 101 U 46 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1539 1230 11.3 31%
Pool L 1:5 LI linze 16 16 U 13 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2009 1219 4.2 10%
T256 W 15:14 LIU Guanyu 152 U 148 Globus Fencing Academy 2079 1490 64.4 27%
T128 L 9:15 HWANG Jayden 2 2 E22 1 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 2502 1555 10.7 7%

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), January 14, 2023
Place 112, Seed 86, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 LIU Marvin 24 57 U 35 Manhattan Fencing Center 1819 1279 8.6 19%
Pool L 2:5 CUSSON William 117 U 70 Zeta Fencing 1036 1271 25.0 64%
Pool L 2:5 PERRIN Leo 93 U 76 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1544 1246 11.7 34%
Pool L 3:5 CHAWLA Abhishek 96 U 54 Capital Fencing Academy 1121 1234 22.5 57%
Pool L 0:5 GUREVICH Benjamin 13 24 U 6 Alle Fencing Club / Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1972 1211 4.9 11%
Pool L 4:5 AGARWAAL Yohan 50 U 92 Cobra Fencing Club LLC 1693 1206 8.8 21%
T128 L 6:15 MCDONALD Finn 34 78 U 14 Delaware Valley Fencers Club-PA 1836 1534 43.9 32%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber (U, Y14), October 16, 2022
Place 27, Seed 29, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 LIU Aaron 12 U 17 Nellya Fencers 1595 1300 14.4 31%
Pool L 1:5 VAID Luke 2 30 E22 5 Nellya Fencers 2269 1285 3.1 5%
Pool L 1:5 YE Eric 9 C22 3 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 2077 1282 5.2 10%
Pool W 5:4 LORENZINI Samuel 19 U 29 Athens Fencing Club 1203 1277 18.4 55%
Pool L 1:5 GONG Gavin 22 U 19 Sigma Fencing Academy 1478 1296 16.3 38%
T32 L 2:15 WANG Justin 6 57 U 8 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 2434 1549 14.7 8%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), October 15, 2022
Place 11, Seed 8, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 ANAND Rishab 1 15 U 3 Nellya Fencers 1860 1269 9.3 17%
Pool W 5:3 KOHLER Vaughn 9 U 17 Nellya Fencers 1273 1260 23.8 49%
Pool W 5:0 BARRY Dave 20 U 8 Sigma Fencing Academy 1562 1284 27.3 35%
Pool W 5:1 ZHANG Aiden 17 U 21 Sigma Fencing Academy 987 1311 13.9 69%
Pool L 3:5 YANG Justin 16 U 5 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1243 1325 25.2 55%
T16 L 13:15 HU Harry 14 U 6 Nellya Fencers 2287 1572 22.6 14%

American Challenge South ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), September 5, 2022
Place 7, Seed 12, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:0 KOHLER Vaughn 7 U 10 Nellya Fencers 1163 1234 23.5 54%
Pool L 3:5 BARRY Dave 13 U 3 Sigma Fencing Academy 2623 1257 3.3 8%
Pool L 3:5 SUN Andrew 1 U 2 1570 1254 16.3 30%
Pool W 5:1 MAHAPATRA Siddhant 14 U 13 Sigma Fencing Academy 1086 1238 19.0 59%
Pool W 5:0 LIU Aiden 16 U 16 Stoccata Fencing Academy & Club 853 1257 12.6 71%
T16 W 15:4 KOHLER Vaughn 7 U 10 Nellya Fencers 1903 1540 109.0 31%
T8 L 6:15 YE Ivan 15 U 1 Elite Fencing Academy 1579 1649 77.1 54%

USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-10 Men's Saber (E1, Y10), July 11, 2022
Place 30, Seed 81, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 CHANG Timothy 24 25 U 16 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1597 1191 17.2 26%
Pool W 5:1 LIN Brendan 85 U 92 Advance Fencing And Fitness Academy 1248 1174 31.9 45%
Pool L 3:5 GU Andrew 53 U 23 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1524 1206 18.6 31%
Pool W 5:1 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 62 U 68 The Fencing Center 950 1187 20.6 65%
Pool W 5:1 KANIA Alexander 33 38 U 61 Midwest Fencing Club 1417 1208 35.4 37%
Pool L 2:5 KANG Matthew 5 5 U 11 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1878 1243 9.4 15%
T128 W 10:9 NAFTALI Ori 29 30 U 83 Midwest Fencing Club 2076 1080 248.3 9%
T64 W 10:4 YU Ian 39 46 U 35 Lone Star Fencing Center / Long Island Fencing Center 2274 1328 236.7 8%
T32 L 3:10 KANG Matthew 5 5 U 11 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 2346 1565 25.3 12%

Peachtree Battle RYC ROC/RJCC/Veteran/Chairfencing

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), May 1, 2022
Place 18, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 SO Preston 2 28 U 3 Nellya Fencers 1934 1280 12.3 15%
Pool W 5:3 ETIENNE Emmanuel 17 U 23 Premier Fencing Alliance 689 1268 14.2 81%
Pool L 4:5 GONG Gavin 7 U 3 Sigma Fencing Academy 1348 1282 32.1 46%
Pool L 1:5 LORENZINI Samuel 19 U 10 Athens Fencing Club 1675 1250 16.4 29%
Pool L 1:5 HUANG Jason 15 U 13 Elite Fencing Academy 1004 1233 42.4 64%
T32 L 8:15 LIU Aaron 16 U 15 Nellya Fencers 1572 1157 77.1 28%

Peachtree Battle RYC ROC/RJCC/Veteran/Chairfencing

Y-10 Men's Saber (U, Y10), April 30, 2022
Place 5, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 BRISENO Ethan 9 U 2 Nellya Fencers 668 1284 61.7 79%
Pool L 4:5 HU Harry 1 7 U 1 Nellya Fencers 1818 1222 15.8 17%
Pool W 5:1 CAO HAOTIAN 4 U 11 Elite Fencing Academy 888 1207 22.3 66%
Pool W 5:1 ZUBIZARRETA Gabriel 7 U 7 Doral Fencing Club 1082 1229 30.2 59%
Pool W 5:0 EDWARDS Farren 8 U 9 Premier Fencing Alliance 891 1259 21.1 70%
T8 L 7:10 YANG Justin 2 54 U 3 Elite Fencing Academy 2105 1192 34.7 10%

THE TAMPA CHALLENGE RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), February 6, 2022
Place 9, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 SO Preston 1 19 U 2 Nellya Fencers 1904 1338 20.9 18%
Pool L 0:5 WANG Justin 4 43 U 1 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1979 1317 16.6 15%
Pool L 2:5 MELUL Jonathan 9 U 6 Alle Fencing Club 1338 1301 45.0 48%
Pool W 5:2 KANTIPUDI Srihaas 8 U 10 Alle Fencing Club 940 1256 28.4 69%
T16 L 6:15 SOKOLOV Arseniy 6 U 8 Alle Fencing Club 1312 1354 161.8 52%

Stas Krivosheev Memorial RYC/RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber (U, Y10), November 21, 2021
Place 9, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 GORDON Ezekiel 13 U 14 Nellya Fencers 853 1223 33.3 70%
Pool W 5:1 YANG Justin 8 U 3 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 790 1256 28.5 76%
Pool W 5:0 EDWARDS Farren 5 U 13 Premier Fencing Alliance 1884 1285 67.5 24%
Pool L 1:5 LIU Victor 2 6 U 1 Sigma Fencing Academy 2120 1352 14.2 11%
T16 L 6:10 YANG Justin 8 U 3 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1819 1477 123.5 33%

Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Y-10 Men's Saber (U, Y10), October 9, 2021
Place 6, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 HU Harry 1 3 U 1 Nellya Fencers 1951 1062 22.4 9%
Pool L 0:5 JOHNSON Leland 7 U 3 DC Fencers Club 1680 1039 35.5 17%
Pool W 5:3 GRABOWSKI Alexander 3 U 9 Capital Fencing Academy 1923 1004 140.2 14%
Pool W 5:2 YANG Justin 5 U 3 Elite Fencing Academy 909 1144 58.7 64%
Pool L 1:5 CHAMBERS Miles 2 U 2 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1890 1203 25.3 15%
Pool W 5:2 CORPUZ Dylan 9 U 8 Triple Threat Fencing Academy 730 1178 36.0 73%
Pool W 5:2 D'AMELJ Edoardo 8 U 7 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1238 1214 65.1 49%
Pool L 3:5 CHANG Ethan 6 U 5 Nazlymov Fencing Foundation 1356 1279 55.8 45%
T8 L 4:10 JOHNSON Leland 7 U 3 DC Fencers Club 2081 1601 123.5 27%

National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Y-10 Men's Saber (E1, Y10), July 10, 2021
Place 59, Seed 59, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 LI AYDEN 13 13 U 34 Axis Fencing Club 1500 1260 132.0 37%
Pool L 4:5 ZHANG Kaixuan 12 12 U 36 Lone Star Fencing Center 1497 1128 93.4 30%
Pool W 5:1 PAI Ayan 37 U 74 Cobra Fencing Club LLC 1203 1034 143.9 41%
Pool L 3:5 BAI Evan 61 U 35 Premier Fencing Club 1659 1178 59.7 24%
Pool L 1:5 ANUMULA Aryan 36 U 48 The Fencing Center 1569 1118 56.5 26%
T128 W 10:3 JOHN William 69 U 70 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1420 1461 276.6 52%
T64 L 2:10 GUREVICH Benjamin 7 7 U 5 Alle Fencing Club / Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 2299 1737 136.5 24%

Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Y-10 Men's Saber (U, Y10), June 19, 2021
Place 13, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Nellya Fencers
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 FENG Brendan 8 U 7 Miracle Fencing Club 1022 2500 1249.5 92%
Pool L 2:5 LI AYDEN 2 13 U 3 Axis Fencing Club 1280 1251 296.9 49%
Pool L 2:5 CAI fungyu 11 U 9 Capital Fencing Academy 2718 954 17.4 3%
Pool L 2:5 PAUL James 3 25 U 10 Capital Fencing Academy 2438 936 22.2 4%
Pool W 5:2 CHAWLA Abhishek 13 U 11 Capital Fencing Academy 1615 914 345.6 20%
T16 L 5:10 LIU Aaron 7 U 5 Nellya Fencers 1368 2500 1039.5 86%