National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
2 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
3 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 LUC Cedric 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
5 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
6 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
7 HRISTOV Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 42% 11%
8 WU Vincent 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
9 KANG Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 53%
10 BAERENWALD Tybalt Wolfram 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
11 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
12 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
13 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
13 GU Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
15 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
16 GRIGORIEV Roman 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
17 OU Rigel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
18 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
19 FISCHER Noel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
20 BRISENO Ethan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
21 ZILLER Rowan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
22 YU Ian 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
23 AVERY Marcus 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
24 LUCAS William 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
25 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
26 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
27 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
28 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 8%
29 QI Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
30 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
31 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
32 MALEK Zak 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
33 TANG Morgan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
34 WANG David 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
35 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
36 CHAN Ewan 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
37 HO Alden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
38 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
39 LEVY Daniel 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
40 BURRES stuart 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
41 CHUNG Evan 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
42 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 15%
43 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
44 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
45 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
46 CHOU Qianhao 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
47 KIM Eric 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
48 LEE Bill King 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
49 GUO Youwei 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
50 RAMBHIA Smit 100% 93% 69% 36% 12% 2% -
51 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
52 KAMURA Kosei 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
53 VO Blake 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
54 KIM Junseong 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
55 LI Ryan 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
56 GUO Jonathan 100% 93% 61% 21% 3% -
57 RABEL Sebastian 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
58 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
59 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
60 BROOKS Theo 100% 91% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
61 JI Derek 100% 80% 42% 14% 2% - -
62 DENG Richard 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
63 ZHANG Aiden 100% 93% 53% 16% 2% - -
64 LEE Blake 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% -
65 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
66 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
67 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
67 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
69 WONG Alexander 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
70 HAN Kyle 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% -
71 KIM Mason 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
72 CHIANG Tyson 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
73 LIU Ryan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
74 CHOW Tyson J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
75 YUAN Alan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
76 RABEL Alexander 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
77 JAVIER Xavier 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
78 MAI Ryan 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% - -
79 LYU Tyler 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
80 HAGN Maximilian 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
81 QI Zach 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
82 BABY Henry 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
83 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% -
83 LIN Ethan 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
85 CHANG William 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 4% -
86 BROOKS Isaac 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
87 CROOKS Andrew 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
88 LU Simon 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
89 LEIGH Brayden 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
90 VALLETTA John “JD” 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
91 LO Lei 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
91 KIM Dylan 100% 97% 80% 47% 15% 2%
93 TABANCAY Cole 100% 94% 61% 23% 4% -
94 LEE Lucas 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
95 FAVO Christopher 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
96 CHEN Aaron 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
97 HOWARTH Hayes 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
98 SALMAN Ibrahim 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
99 NORTON Hudson 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
99 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
101 GUAN Dylan 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
102 RINALDI Benigno 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
103 ALLEN Parker 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
104 PARK Layne 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
104 CANNON Rowen 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
106 ZHANG Weihang 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
107 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
108 PARK Sean 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
109 MUSSON Miles 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
110 DEGUZMAN Miguel Javier 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
111 DING Kyen 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
112 LIU Baichen (Matthew) 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
113 RANGE Easton 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
114 STERN Kazuki 100% 34% 5% - - -
115 YU Albert 100% 31% 4% - - - -
116 MARCISZ Maksym 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
117 BADMUS David 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
118 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
118 STYS Owen 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
120 JASPERSON Nolan 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
121 LEI Isaac 100% 55% 11% 1% - - -
122 MISHRA Ayan 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.