Ethan Lin

2012

Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 18 6 - - - 24
Losses 33 8 - - - 41
Win Ratio 35.3% 42.9% - - - 36.9%
Pool Victories 16 5 - - - 21
Pool Losses 26 6 - - - 32
Pool Win Ratio 38.1% 45.5% - - - 39.6%
DE Victories 2 1 - - - 3
DE Losses 7 2 - - - 9
DE Win Ratio 22.2% 33.3% - - - 25.0%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 4 3 - - - 7
Easy wins as % of wins 22.2% 50.0% - - - 29.2%
Close wins‡ 4 1 - - - 5
Close wins as % of all wins 22.2% 16.7% - - - 20.8%
Close losses‡ 7 - - - - 7
Close losses as % of all losses 21.2% 0.0% - - - 17.1%
Big losses† 19 3 - - - 22
Big losses as % of all losses 57.6% 37.5% - - - 53.7%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 7 2 - - - 9
Tournaments 5 2 - - - 7

Competition History

Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), March 24, 2024
Place 48, Seed 59, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 FAN Yuchen 62 U 66 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1044 1055 21.4 51%
Pool W 5:2 WARD Carter 61 U 95 Phoenix Fencing Academy 774 1034 14.4 66%
Pool W 5:3 BROOKS Theo 34 126 U 51 Capital Fencing Academy 1241 1048 25.8 38%
Pool L 4:5 LI Ryan 29 91 U 71 Laguna Fencing Center 1342 1074 13.6 33%
Pool W 5:3 CHANG Joshua 47 U 36 1268 1060 24.8 37%
Pool L 2:5 KANG Jeremy 2 9 U 9 Premier Fencing Academy 1919 1085 4.1 9%
T128 W 15:9 JI Derek 88 U 81 South Bay Fencing Academy 1521 1166 136.5 30%
T64 L 3:15 TANG Morgan 6 16 U 11 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 2096 1303 22.2 11%

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), January 15, 2024
Place 20, Seed 28, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 3 10 U 3 Las Vegas Fencing Academy 1837 975 5.0 8%
Pool W 5:2 GUO Youwei 59 U 39 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1443 970 40.9 22%
Pool L 2:5 LVOVSKIY Roman 22 U 30 Spartak 962 1011 25.0 53%
Pool W 5:4 NGUYEN Ethan 18 85 U 48 Laguna Fencing Center 896 986 20.3 56%
Pool W 5:1 NICOLL Andrew 38 U 56 West Coast Fencing Academy 1092 1006 21.1 45%
Pool W 5:2 CHIANG Tyson 40 U 44 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1216 1027 27.8 38%
T64 W 15:12 GONZALEZ Paul 50 U 47 Spartak 1097 1097 101.9 50%
T32 L 10:15 WANG Edward 13 33 U 12 Laguna Fencing Center 1913 1199 32.7 14%

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-14 Men's Saber (C2, Y14), January 13, 2024
Place 53, Seed 51, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 WANG Tiger 18 109 D23 19 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1741 940 6.6 10%
Pool W 5:0 CHAN Troy 40 U 63 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 826 933 23.7 57%
Pool W 5:4 MINASIAN Mason 67 U 58 Spartak 1489 957 47.9 19%
Pool L 2:5 BRUM Charles E. 29 U 36 Team Touche Fencing Center 1342 1005 15.7 29%
Pool L 3:5 KOVACHEV Martin 59 U 25 Laguna Fencing Center 1579 989 9.5 17%
Pool L 1:5 WONG Lucas 6 37 E23 7 Premier Fencing Academy 1882 979 4.5 7%
T64 L 5:15 VO Landon 17 95 U 10 Premier Fencing Academy 1584 1166 69.0 27%

7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-14 Men's Saber (U, Y14), November 19, 2023
Place 39, Seed 49, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 46 U 47 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1071 944 27.9 42%
Pool L 4:5 HONG Arick 38 U 22 Laguna Fencing Center / West Coast Fencing Academy 1014 916 28.0 44%
Pool L 1:5 RONG Jasper 13 128 U 5 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1745 888 6.4 8%
Pool W 5:3 HAN Kyle 34 U 40 South Bay Fencing Academy 1073 882 38.4 38%
Pool L 1:5 GREMILLION Obadiah 4 43 C23 6 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1804 920 5.6 7%
Pool W 5:3 BRADIC Andreja 29 U 44 Spartak 804 915 24.8 57%
T64 L 7:15 PEREZ HERNANDEZ Ethan 40 U 26 2500 1187 21.2 11%

7th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC and RJC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), November 18, 2023
Place 38, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:3 JI Derek 36 U 32 South Bay Fencing Academy 924 894 42.3 48%
Pool W 5:4 JASPERSON Nolan 51 U 52 Phoenix Fencing Academy 989 936 40.5 47%
Pool W 5:1 WU Kaiden 47 U 45 West Coast Fencing Academy 571 977 19.3 72%
Pool L 0:5 KOZLOFF Wyatt 4 13 U 10 Spartak 1640 996 12.3 15%
Pool L 1:5 CHEN Aaron 45 U 17 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1147 984 28.2 40%
Pool L 0:5 ZHANG KAIQI 13 40 U 7 Laguna Fencing Center 1609 956 11.3 14%
T64 L 14:15 LEE Bill King 46 U 27 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1606 1280 92.7 32%

Back to School RYC/RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), October 13, 2023
Place 34, Seed 29, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 1:5 GRIGORIEV Roman 6 43 U 3 Premier Fencing Academy 1641 998 18.5 15%
Pool L 2:5 KIM Eric 21 U 27 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1369 980 28.6 27%
Pool L 1:5 SRIVATSAV Anay 19 U 18 Cardinal Fencing Club 1138 951 37.4 38%
Pool L 0:5 ZHAO Aidan 7 48 U 11 Cardinal Fencing Club 1372 914 22.9 23%
Pool L 0:5 SOULES-ONO Makoa 42 U 15 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1163 891 30.1 33%
Pool W 5:1 HWANG Zachary 32 U 41 Bay Area Fencing Club / Academy Of Fencing Masters (AFM) 722 861 33.4 58%
T64 L 6:15 VENKATRAMAN Sushil 40 U 31 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1242 1503 222.9 64%

11th Annual Little Musketeers RYC / RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber (U, Y12), September 9, 2023
Place 38, Seed 27, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 0:5 YANG Phillip 2 2 U 3 South Bay Fencing Academy 2023 1242 21.4 11%
Pool L 0:5 LEE Matthew 16 U 37 West Coast Fencing Academy 406 1221 153.5 89%
Pool L 1:5 CHEN Aaron 25 U 18 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1176 1067 58.6 43%
Pool W 5:2 GRIFFIN Sid 13 U 40 LA International Fencing 939 1009 57.0 54%
Pool L 4:5 IM Tyler 31 U 19 Spartak 1577 1066 26.6 21%
Pool L 3:5 KIM Junseong 41 U 24 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1258 1039 41.1 36%
T64 L 3:15 LI Ryan 43 U 16 Laguna Fencing Center 1945 1648 145.0 34%

National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-10 Men's Saber (E1, Y10), July 9, 2023
Place 83, Seed 97, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 RABEL Alexander 74 U 76 Scarsdale Fencing Center 1144 1525 240.3 70%
Pool L 3:5 SHAPIRO Leo 35 41 U 83 Tim Morehouse Fencing Club 1252 1285 139.9 52%
Pool W 5:4 CAO HAOTIAN 71 U 99 Elite Fencing Academy (GA) 1146 1145 114.1 50%
Pool L 0:5 KANG Jeremy 2 2 U 9 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 2043 1259 28.8 12%
Pool W 5:3 CHANG William 111 U 85 Bay Area Fencing Club 1225 1231 93.0 50%
Pool L 3:5 CHAVAN Aditya 38 43 U 38 Zeta Fencing 1375 1324 81.4 47%
T128 L 5:10 RAMBHIA Smit 44 54 U 50 Premier Fencing Academy 1444 2140 492.8 80%

South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-10 Men's Saber (U, Y10), January 15, 2023
Place 25, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating U, Avant Garde Fencers Club, Inc (CA) (AGFC)
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 HAO Johnny 4 7 U 5 Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) 1571 2500 983.4 82%
Pool W 5:1 CHEUNG Evan 29 U 36 West Coast Fencing Academy 882 1517 151.2 76%
Pool L 3:5 LI Jason 37 U 22 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1468 1668 322.8 60%
Pool W 5:0 LEI Isaac 15 U 49 Laguna Fencing Center 270 1345 40.3 92%
Pool W 5:2 CHEN Donovan 41 U 40 LA Fencing Academy of Pomona 1158 1385 140.1 61%
T64 W 10:2 DU Bode 21 U 45 West Coast Fencing Academy 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T32 L 3:10 BURRES stuart 28 U 3 LA International Fencing 2057 2921 780.1 82%