National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
3 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 GAY Sasha 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
5 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
6 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
8 HSU leah 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
9 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
10 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
11 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
12 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
13 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
14 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
15 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
16 SENGUPTA Jia 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
17 CHAN Jolene 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
17 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
19 WANG Callie 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
20 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
21 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
22 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 9%
23 NGUYEN Summer 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
24 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
25 BAERENWALD Welles 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
26 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
27 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
28 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
29 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
30 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
30 MAK Kaitlin 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
32 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
33 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
34 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
35 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
36 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
37 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
38 CHOI Charlotte 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
39 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
40 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
41 XIAÖ Cindy 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
42 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
43 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
44 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
44 KAUL Tara 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
46 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
47 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
48 NANDA Maanika 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
49 REN Katherine 100% 99% 93% 70% 36% 11% 1%
50 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
51 DHAR Rana 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 3%
52 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 1%
53 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
54 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
55 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
56 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
57 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
58 MISHEV Lila 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
59 WONG Charlene 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
60 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
61 KIM Alexia 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
62 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
63 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
64 SCHMIDT Yehna 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
65 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
66 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
67 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
68 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
69 MACKAY Katherine 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
70 YOON Sela 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
71 JOHNSON Heaven 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
72 KWON Hannah 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
73 LEE Irene 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
74 HWANG Sophie 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
75 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
76 YUEN Nicole 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 2% -
77 HU Heidi 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
78 MARAGH Farrah E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
78 WU Daisy 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
80 WANG Tina 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
81 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
82 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 26% 4%
83 STANLEY Garance 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
84 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 97% 73% 29% 5% -
85 HAGN Luna 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
86 WONG Cerise 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
87 LIANG Claire 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
87 HU Ashley 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
89 LAFFY Lily 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
90 YOUNG Sienna 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
91 CAI Joanna 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
92 KIM Saeren 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 2% -
93 DOLEV Rony 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
93 VATS Ishita 100% 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
95 YE Madeleine 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
95 XU Rachel 100% 94% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
97 POWERS Langley 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
98 GONG suri 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
99 POWERS Waverly 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
100 BAIK Sarah 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
101 LEE Kaitlin 100% 87% 41% 8% 1% -
102 WANG Emily 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
103 HWANG Charlotte 100% 97% 75% 33% 7% -
104 LONG Chloe 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
105 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
106 KIM Satie 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
107 KONZEN Iris 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
108 CAI Veronica 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
109 MULLER Inara 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
109 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
111 DANG Madeleine 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
112 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% -
113 PRAKASH Aanika 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
114 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 100% 71% 23% 4% - - -
115 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
116 XU Elaine 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
117 LEIGH Adalene 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
118 MOON Claire 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
119 HILD Anya 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
120 WILLIAMSON Morgan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
120 NEGROIU Mara 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
122 WEST Mia 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
123 DEMRY Kylee 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
124 HUANG Pierra 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
125 SEAL Ayda 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
126 ROBBINS Adele 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
127 ZHANG Olivia 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
128 MEADE Kaia G. 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
129 SONG Emily 100% 44% 8% 1% - -
130 KIM Grace 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
131 LIN Ariel 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
132 CHACKO Anne 100% 43% 7% - - -
133 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
133 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 16% 1% - - - -
135 BEATEY Piper 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
136 ELIASIK Josephine 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.