National Championships & July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, July 9, 2023 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Convention Center - Phoenix, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG XUANYI - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 CHIARELLI Valentina - - - - 3% 25% 72%
3 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 GAY Sasha 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
5 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
6 YOUNG Charlotte G. - - - 1% 8% 34% 56%
7 GONZALEZ Veronika - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
8 HSU leah - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
9 AWAD Royce - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
10 KANG Ellie - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
11 DAMBAL Sasha - - 2% 18% 45% 35%
12 CONG Anne - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
13 LEOU Korina - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
14 GUGALA Hanna - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
15 LEI Zitong (Meya) - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
16 SENGUPTA Jia - 2% 14% 40% 35% 9%
17 CHAN Jolene - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 27%
17 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
19 WANG Callie - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
20 BUSH Bethany - - 4% 22% 46% 27%
21 WANG JiaQi - 3% 14% 35% 36% 12%
22 VINOKUR Anita - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
23 NGUYEN Summer - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
24 LIN Elaine - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
25 BAERENWALD Welles - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
26 DAVIDOVA Kira - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
27 FAN Alexandria - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 3%
28 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
29 LIU Hannah - 1% 9% 34% 41% 15%
30 NIU Jessica 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
30 MAK Kaitlin - 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
32 BORGUETA Madison - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
33 HU Anna - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
34 ZHAI AMY - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
35 LIU kai yin aria 1% 5% 19% 34% 28% 11% 1%
36 TONG Laurie - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
37 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
38 CHOI Charlotte 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
39 BERRIOS Catalina - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
40 SUNG Isabella - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
41 XIAÖ Cindy 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
42 WANG Jiayi - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
43 KWON Ava - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
44 MEYERSON Michelle - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
44 KAUL Tara 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
46 YERENKOVA Ameliia 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
47 LONG Jessie 1% 9% 24% 32% 24% 9% 1%
48 NANDA Maanika 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
49 REN Katherine 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
50 KU Alathea-Joy 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
51 DHAR Rana 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 3%
52 JIANG Evelyn - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 1%
53 CASTELO Soleil - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
54 GONG Joy - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
55 NEMORIN Rei - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
56 BROWN Aria 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
57 PARK Haylie 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
58 MISHEV Lila - 3% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
59 WONG Charlene 7% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
60 IANNUZZI Lucy 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
61 KIM Alexia 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
62 ILAGAN Ava - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
63 FLEEGER Sophia 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
64 SCHMIDT Yehna 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
65 BLAKE Anna - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
66 ZHANG Ashley 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
67 SEBASTIAN Ava 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
68 NADKARNI Marisa 1% 5% 19% 33% 30% 11% 1%
69 MACKAY Katherine 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
70 YOON Sela 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
71 JOHNSON Heaven - 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
72 KWON Hannah 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
73 LEE Irene - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
74 HWANG Sophie 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
75 FUNG Iris - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4%
76 YUEN Nicole 2% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
77 HU Heidi 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
78 MARAGH Farrah E. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
78 WU Daisy - 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
80 WANG Tina - 1% 8% 24% 37% 24% 5%
81 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
82 FOSS Persephone - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
83 STANLEY Garance 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
84 TA-ZHOU Sophia 3% 24% 45% 24% 5% -
85 HAGN Luna 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% -
86 WONG Cerise 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
87 LIANG Claire 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
87 HU Ashley 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
89 LAFFY Lily 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
90 YOUNG Sienna 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 4% -
91 CAI Joanna - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
92 KIM Saeren 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
93 DOLEV Rony - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
93 VATS Ishita - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
95 YE Madeleine 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
95 XU Rachel 6% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
97 POWERS Langley 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
98 GONG suri 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
99 POWERS Waverly 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
100 BAIK Sarah 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1%
101 LEE Kaitlin 13% 46% 33% 8% 1% -
102 WANG Emily 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% -
103 HWANG Charlotte 3% 22% 41% 27% 6% -
104 LONG Chloe 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
105 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
106 KIM Satie 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
107 KONZEN Iris 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
108 CAI Veronica - 4% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
109 MULLER Inara 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
109 DESAUTELS Alexandra 16% 36% 31% 14% 3% - -
111 DANG Madeleine 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
112 ZHU Avril - 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% -
113 PRAKASH Aanika 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
114 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 29% 47% 20% 3% - - -
115 CHOWDHERY Myra 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
116 XU Elaine 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
117 LEIGH Adalene 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
118 MOON Claire 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3% -
119 HILD Anya 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
120 WILLIAMSON Morgan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
120 NEGROIU Mara 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
122 WEST Mia 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
123 DEMRY Kylee 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
124 HUANG Pierra 34% 47% 17% 3% - - -
125 SEAL Ayda 45% 39% 13% 2% - - -
126 ROBBINS Adele 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
127 ZHANG Olivia 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
128 MEADE Kaia G. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
129 SONG Emily 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
130 KIM Grace 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
131 LIN Ariel 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
132 CHACKO Anne 57% 36% 7% - - -
133 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
133 GALLAGHER Isabella 84% 15% 1% - - - -
135 BEATEY Piper 35% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -
136 ELIASIK Josephine 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.