Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Men's Foil

Saturday, July 15, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 GE Daniel 100% 100% 98% 81% 36%
2 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
3 LEE Ethan 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
3 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 97% 70% 19%
5 ROBINS Brennan 100% 100% 100% 95% 57%
6 BUCHAS Jamie 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
7 GRANADOS Luis 100% 99% 82% 34% 5%
8 SAMMATARO Corey 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
9 LEE Hans 100% 81% 37% 6% -
10 GUERTIN Matthew 100% 96% 69% 24% 3%
11 CROWE Adam 100% 85% 45% 12% 1%
12 FOTIYEV ALAN 100% 100% 99% 83% 27%
12 CRUZ ZURITA Leonardo 100% 86% 29% 3% -
14 TRAUB Will 100% 77% 34% 7% -
15 TESSMAN Henry 100% 64% 13% 1% -
16 JEFF Ariff 100% 98% 81% 30% 3%
17 POLLIO Benjamin 100% 86% 49% 14% 2%
18 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 59% 12% 1% -
19 RODRIGUEZ Melvin 100% 96% 72% 27% 2%
20 ARSHAD Mohsin 100% 35% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.