Nutmeg State Games

E & Under Men's Épée

Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 12:00 PM

Candlewood Fencing Newtown - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 XIAN Andy 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
2 PAGE Duncan 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 25%
3 WARD Carrington 100% 100% 99% 94% 64% 12%
3 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
5 STEIN Philip 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
6 DOWD Peter 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
7 LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
8 ALVES PEREIRA Francisco Xavier Vu 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
9 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 10%
10 COSTA Joao 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
11 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
12 WARD Kofi 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
13 KELLEY Hayden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2%
14 COLON Atum 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
15 PETE Landon 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
16 DANIS Owen 100% 83% 35% 7% 1% -
17 PEZZINO Matt 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
18 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
19 VINE Ross 100% 95% 72% 37% 10% 1%
20 HOFF Atlas 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
21 SEILS Aether 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
22 PARK Patrick 100% 58% 17% 2% - -
23 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
24 OSISEK Eric 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.