2023 Keystone State Games

Senior Men's Foil

Saturday, July 22, 2023 at 12:00 PM

York Ice Arena - York, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG Rory 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
2 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
3 WANG Brian 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
3 KENNEDY Christo 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
5 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
6 WADLEY Brendan E. 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
7 DUSZA Zachery 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
8 ROSA II Carl D. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
9 LEE Ethan 100% 52% 12% 1% -
10 MAYER Richard 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
11 BONOMO Sebastian J. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
12 KRAMER Ryan 100% 93% 58% 19% 3% -
12 ZAIDI Adil 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
14 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
16 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
17 ALLISON Justin N. 100% 97% 74% 26% 3%
18 BASKIN Lukáš 100% 88% 47% 12% 1%
19 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2%
20 BINET Nicolas 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% -
21 NADOL Sam 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
22 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
23 DE BRUIN Peter 100% 52% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.