Event Results
Orion Star Series: ÃpéeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | HUANG Thomas | V V V V | V V V | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 2 | HINMAN Andrew | V V V | V V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 3 | HOLZGRAFE Nathaniel C. | V V V D | V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | HONZ Jacob | V V V D | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 5 | YORK Andrew | V V V V | V D | 1.6 | 4 | +2.4 |
| 6 | JOHNSON Ryder | V V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 7 | MEEHAN Dylan A. | D V V D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 8 | HARWOOD James A. | D D D V | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 9 | BIRK Francisco | D V V D | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 10 | YORK Karen Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 11 | WINTER Carson | D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 12 | FRANCO Dvorak I. | D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 13 | NESTI Aubrey | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 14 | GILES RUTLEDGE Megan | D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 15 | SPITZER Isaac | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |