Nathaniel Holzgrafe

1991

Orion Fencing

Win/Loss Statistics

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 24 24 - - - 48
Losses 37 17 - - - 54
Win Ratio 39.3% 58.5% - - - 47.1%
Pool Victories 16 17 - - - 33
Pool Losses 28 12 - - - 40
Pool Win Ratio 36.4% 58.6% - - - 45.2%
DE Victories 8 7 - - - 15
DE Losses 9 5 - - - 14
DE Win Ratio 47.1% 58.3% - - - 51.7%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Easy wins† 10 10 - - - 20
Easy wins as % of wins 41.7% 41.7% - - - 41.7%
Close wins‡ 7 4 - - - 11
Close wins as % of all wins 29.2% 16.7% - - - 22.9%
Close losses‡ 7 5 - - - 12
Close losses as % of all losses 18.9% 29.4% - - - 22.2%
Big losses† 14 7 - - - 21
Big losses as % of all losses 37.8% 41.2% - - - 38.9%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Victories 1 - - - - 1
Victories as % of all victories 4.2% 0.0% - - - 2.1%
Losses - 1 - - - 1
Losses as % of all losses 0.0% 5.9% - - - 1.9%
Total 1 1 - - - 2
Total as % of all bouts 1.6% 2.4% - - - 2.0%

Events

2023-2024 2022-2023 2021-2022 2020-2021 Before 2020 All Time
Events 11 5 - - - 16
Tournaments 7 5 - - - 12

Competition History

Elite Wheelchair Camp Walk & Roll Open Foil

Senior Mixed Foil (D1, SNR), April 19, 2024
Place 5, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating E24, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 LY Terence 3 E24 10 Orion Fencing 1432 1299 51.9 42%
Pool W 5:4 HOLCOMB Michael 9 U 8 Victoria Fencing Program 947 1351 23.1 74%
Pool W 5:1 HURST Jason 13 U 13
Pool W 5:2 DEMEAUX Gregory 10 U 11 1243 1374 33.7 58%
T16 W 15:13 GOODWIN Bryan 11 U 14 Orion Fencing 1349 2162 31.0 86%
T8 L 14:15 FRANCO Dvorak I. 2 D21 3 Orion Fencing 1883 2193 134.5 67%

Orion Spring Star Series Sabre Senior Open & Y12

Senior Mixed Saber (E1, SNR), March 22, 2024
Place 6, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating E21, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 HARWOOD James A. 1 C23 2 Orion Fencing 2361 1568 167.0 11%
Pool L 4:5 BURKET Thomas 4 E23 3 Orion Fencing 1797 1735 62.6 46%
Pool W 4:3 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 5 E23 7 Orion Fencing / Salle Auriol Seattle
Pool L 3:5 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 3 C22 1 Oregon Fencing Alliance 2290 1672 24.2 17%
Pool L 2:5 JOHNSON Ryder 2 C23 3 Orion Fencing 1688 1648 57.5 48%
Pool W 5:1 MEFFORD Isadora 7 U 9 PDX Fencing
Pool L 0:5 LIAO Yifong 8 U 5 PDX Fencing 1375 1590 72.2 63%
Pool W 5:3 LAND Ari 9 U 8 Orion Fencing 1423 1518 46.1 56%
T8 L 8:15 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 3 C22 1 Oregon Fencing Alliance 2566 1657 35.3 10%

Portland ROC

Div II Men's Foil (C1, DV2), March 10, 2024
Place 22, Seed 8, Not ranked, Rating E24, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 LY Terence 9 E24 14 Orion Fencing 1321 1394 55.8 55%
Pool L 4:5 JONES Bryan T. 20 U 19 Northwest Fencing Center 2088 1338 13.5 12%
Pool L 1:5 PINKERTON Joseph H. 1 C23 3 Xavier University Fencing Club / New Trier X-caliber Fencing Club 2331 1325 7.0 6%
Pool L 1:5 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 16 E22 9 Salle Auriol Seattle 2089 1318 12.2 11%
Pool L 2:5 WISEMAN Andy M. 17 E21 8 Northwest Fencing Center / Oregon Fencing Alliance 2425 1305 6.1 6%
T32 L 7:15 WISEMAN Andy M. 17 E21 8 Northwest Fencing Center / Oregon Fencing Alliance 1657 2316 153.7 77%

Portland ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil (A2, D1A), March 9, 2024
Place 26, Seed 20, Not ranked, Rating E24, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 HOLCOMB Michael 30 U 31 Victoria Fencing Program 976 1487 29.9 79%
Pool L 2:5 THAN Duc 31 U 23 Fencing Sports Academy, Inc. / Bay Area Fencing Club 1462 1517 64.7 53%
Pool L 1:5 TALASILA Arush 11 C23 9 Rain City Fencing Center / Metro Tacoma Fencing Club 2253 1452 14.3 10%
Pool L 0:5 KIM Andrew J. 10 B22 11 Rain City Fencing Center 2550 1438 6.1 4%
Pool L 0:5 MITBERG Gregory W. 1 42 A24 1 Northwest Fencing Center 3393 1431 0.2 < 1%
Pool L 0:5 FECAROTTA Ryan 21 E24 17 Salle Auriol Seattle 1702 1431 37.4 33%
T32 L 7:15 SPROWLES Cameron D. 3 A22 6 Salle Auriol Seattle 3104 2357 41.0 14%

Orion Winter Star Series Foil Senior Open & Y12

Senior Mixed Foil (E1, SNR), February 16, 2024
Place 1, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating E23, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
T4 W 15:5 SCORDINO Steven 4 U 3 Spokane Fencers Unlimited 2500 2244 106.3 41%
T2 W 15:9 HOLCOMB Michael 2 U 2 Victoria Fencing Program 814 2350 6.9 98%

MadDog Sabre Tournament

Senior Mixed Saber (E1, SNR), August 19, 2023
Place 2, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating E21, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
T8 W 15:5 OLDS Jade 7 U 7 Lower Columbia College 2079 1622 193.8 33%
T4 W 15:10 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 3 E23 3 Orion Fencing / Salle Auriol Seattle
T2 L 9:15 BURKET Thomas 1 E22 1 Orion Fencing 1858 1816 158.7 48%

MadDog Sabre Tournament

Senior Mixed Saber (B1, SNR), August 19, 2023
Place 10, Seed 10, Not ranked, Rating E21, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 2:5 RIGGINS Littleton K. 3 C23 7 Salle Auriol Seattle 2422 1597 27.6 11%
Pool L 4:5 BURKET Thomas 9 E22 9 Orion Fencing 1749 1569 77.7 40%
Pool W 5:1 CROSKREY Stephen 16 U 14 Orion Fencing 1647 1492 100.1 41%
Pool W 5:0 RUTLEDGE Lucy 18 U 18 Orion Fencing
Pool L 1:5 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 4 C22 5 Oregon Fencing Alliance 2345 1592 24.0 12%
T16 L 12:15 HINMAN Andrew 11 U 8 Orion Fencing 2032 1772 149.8 38%

Orion Fencing Anniversary Tournament

Senior Mixed Saber (E1, SNR), August 13, 2023
Place 8, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating E21, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 SPITZER Isaac 8 U 7 Orion Fencing 1982 2286 193.8 64%
Pool L 4:5 LE Long 4 E23 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1865 2480 400.8 79%
Pool L 3:5 JAKSTAS Kalnius 3 D22 4 Orion Fencing 2158 2079 159.8 46%
Pool W 5:1 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 5 E23 6 Orion Fencing / Salle Auriol Seattle
Pool L 0:5 JOHNSON Ryder 7 U 5 Orion Fencing 1357 1919 242.8 78%
Pool L 3:5 MEEHAN Justin X. 1 C21 3 Orion Fencing 2387 1676 41.6 15%
Pool L 3:5 HARWOOD James A. 2 D23 1 Orion Fencing 2349 1635 37.7 15%
T8 L 14:15 LE Long 4 E23 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 2011 2074 302.2 53%

Orion Fencing Anniversary Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée (D1, SNR), August 13, 2023
Place 13, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating E23, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 GOWDA Suyog 6 U 7 Northwest Fencing Center 1610 1875 130.7 66%
Pool L 0:5 HINMAN Andrew 2 C21 2 Orion Fencing 2452 1744 28.0 14%
Pool L 2:5 HARWOOD James A. 11 U 5 Orion Fencing 1811 1716 66.3 45%
Pool W 5:3 VAVURIS Nicolas 17 U 15 Studio Of American Fencing 1454 1650 49.2 60%
Pool W 5:4 NESTI Aubrey 14 U 19 Orion Fencing
T16 L 9:15 HARWOOD James A. 11 U 5 Orion Fencing 2390 2628 203.9 61%

Orion Star Series: Foil

Senior Mixed Foil (E1, SNR), August 4, 2023
Place 1, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
T8 W 15:1 SPITZER Isaac 4 U 7 Orion Fencing 971 2066 34.2 91%
T4 W 15:7 SHERMAN Dave 8 U 3 Studio Of American Fencing 1281 2100 51.1 86%
T2 W 15:12 CROSKREY Stephen 2 U 2 Orion Fencing 1792 2151 92.4 68%

Orion Star Series: Foil

Senior Mixed Foil (D1, SNR), August 4, 2023
Place 13, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 3:5 MEEHAN Justin X. 2 D21 1 Orion Fencing 2597 1653 18.6 10%
Pool L 3:5 FECAROTTA Ryan 4 E23 2 Salle Auriol Seattle 1617 1635 84.3 51%
Pool L 2:5 YANG Arthur 13 U 7 Northwest Fencing Center 1077 1550 105.0 74%
Pool W 5:3 SHERMAN Dave 8 U 16 Studio Of American Fencing 1095 1445 41.5 70%
T16 L 8:15 FECAROTTA Ryan 4 E23 2 Salle Auriol Seattle 2052 2374 308.3 66%

Orion Star Series: Épée

Senior Mixed Épée (D1, SNR), July 28, 2023
Place 3, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:4 BIRK Francisco 6 U 9 Northwest Fencing Center 1005 1817 34.3 84%
Pool W 5:3 NESTI Aubrey 13 U 13 Orion Fencing
Pool W 5:2 WINTER Carson 12 U 11 Orion Fencing 1294 1852 47.4 76%
Pool L 2:5 HUANG Thomas 1 A23 1 Orion Fencing 2764 1899 24.4 10%
T16 W 15:7 WINTER Carson 12 U 11 Orion Fencing 2079 2483 194.2 64%
T8 W 15:11 YORK Andrew 8 U 5 Orion Fencing 2626 2677 252.7 52%
T4 L 7:15 HINMAN Andrew 3 C21 2 Orion Fencing 2675 2930 302.3 62%

Orion Star Series: Foil

Senior Mixed Foil (D1, SNR), July 21, 2023
Place 8, Seed 18, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool L 4:5 JOHNSON Ryder 14 U 11 Orion Fencing 1245 2562 534.7 96%
Pool L 4:5 MEEHAN Justin X. 1 D21 3 Orion Fencing 2376 2027 87.1 33%
Pool L 3:5 WEEKS Brogan 19 U 18 Orion Fencing 915 1940 241.4 89%
Pool L 0:5 GOWDA Sumeru 7 U 12 Northwest Fencing Center 1255 1699 186.3 74%
Pool W 5:0 LOCKWOOD London 9 U 15 Orion Fencing 1142 1512 58.3 70%
Pool W 5:2 GOODWIN Bryan W. 8 U 17 Orion Fencing 1546 1571 82.5 51%
T32 W 15:2 GILES RUTLEDGE Megan 10 U 20 Orion Fencing
T16 W 15:5 WISEMAN Andy M. 5 E21 9 Orion Fencing 2500 2378 246.8 46%
T8 L 8:15 YORK Andrew 11 U 1 Orion Fencing 2636 2625 251.0 50%

Orion Star Series: Foil

Senior Mixed Foil (E1, SNR), May 19, 2023
Place 3, Seed 5, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing / Des Moines Fencing Club
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 SHERMAN David 9 U 12 Studio Of American Fencing 1111 2500 120.0 91%
Pool W 5:2 NGUYEN Stella 7 U 11 Orion Fencing
Pool W 5:4 GOODWIN Bryan 4 U 6 Orion Fencing 1632 2620 169.9 82%
Pool L 4:5 JAKSTAS Kalnius 13 U 8 Orion Fencing 1249 2790 866.1 93%
Pool W 5:2 JOHNSON Ryder 12 U 5 Orion Fencing 1169 1924 113.1 82%
Pool W 5:1 MEEHAN Dylan 1 E19 3 Orion Fencing 3479 2037 524.9 6%
T8 W 15:9 JAKSTAS Kalnius 13 U 8 Orion Fencing 2630 2500 471.8 46%
T4 L 11:15 HARWOOD James 2 U 1 Orion Fencing 2236 2972 593.5 75%

ORION EPEE & 2-on-2 EPEE TOURNAMENT

Senior Mixed Épée (E1, SNR), August 20, 2022
Place 7, Seed 7, Not ranked, Rating U, Orion Fencing / Des Moines Fencing Club
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:1 DEMEAUX Gregory 4 U 6 Orion Fencing 1691 2500 250.0 77%
Pool W 5:1 NABORS Ottie 6 U 10 Orion Fencing 2223 2750 235.9 67%
Pool L 3:5 MEEHAN Justin X. 1 C21 1 Orion Fencing / Fencing Center of Long Island 2910 2986 378.7 53%
Pool L 2:5 BOURGUIGNON Harrison 9 U 3 Orion Fencing 2202 2607 371.8 68%
Pool L 3:4 STARR Harry 2 C21 2 Orion Fencing 2423 2235 160.9 41%
Pool L 0:5 REED David 10 U 3 Rain City Fencing Center 1719 2074 262.2 69%
Pool L 1:5 KRYLTSOV Greg 5 U 5 Rain City Fencing Center 2001 1812 117.2 39%
Pool W 5:4 SOLOVEY Katerina 3 U 8 Orion Fencing
Pool W 5:4 RUTLEDGE Noah 8 U 9 Orion Fencing 1753 1695 122.2 47%
T16 W 15:9 NABORS Ottie 6 U 10 Orion Fencing 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T8 L 4:15 STARR Harry 2 C21 2 Orion Fencing 2675 2921 437.6 59%

Sabrehood #10 at ORION FENCING

Senior Mixed Saber (D1, SNR), August 19, 2022
Place 7, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating E21, Orion Fencing / Des Moines Fencing Club
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool W 5:2 SULLIVAN Madilyn R. 8 U 9 Orion Fencing / Salle Auriol Seattle
Pool W 5:2 RUTLEDGE Noah 14 U 13 Orion Fencing 2500 2500 420.5 50%
Pool W 5:0 KEHOE Dexter 11 U 12 Orion Fencing 841 2921 20.9 98%
Pool L 1:5 HARWOOD James 2 D22 2 Orion Fencing 2344 2941 655.6 74%
T16 W 15:4 RUTLEDGE Noah 14 U 13 Orion Fencing 2500 2500 420.5 50%
T8 L 12:15 BURKET Thomas 15 U 3 Orion Fencing 1811 2921 846.6 87%