2023 Bluegrass State Games

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 9:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NEMETH Arthur 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
3 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
3 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 59%
5 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7%
6 BOTNER Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
7 BERNSTEIN Stuart E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 15%
8 SMOTHERMAN Jason N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 6%
9 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 12%
10 MILLER Brent 100% 98% 81% 41% 8% -
11 ROLON Jose 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
12 WAHL Nathan 100% 97% 70% 23% 1% -
13 CLEMONS Adder 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
14 CRAFT David M. 100% 94% 66% 23% 1% -
15 MCNARY Sean 100% 96% 62% 20% 2% -
16 MILLER Hayden 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
17 PETTIT Ronin 100% 100% 93% 59% 13% 1%
18 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
19 BATES Madison 100% 94% 44% 9% 1% -
20 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
21 PETTIT John 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
22 OAKES Scarlett 100% 96% 72% 29% 4% -
23 WEI Hanzhao 100% 99% 91% 61% 18% 1%
24 CAUFIELD Jeff 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
25 MASSEY Nicholas 100% 95% 66% 25% 5% -
26 DURR Anna 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
27 WALLIS Isla 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
28 FORD Mattie 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
29 DUTTON Kimberly (Kitty) 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
30 CAUFIELD Ramey (Sasha) 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.