The Duelist Open 23

Mixed Épée

Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Belleville High School - Belleville, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
3 GATES Darcy C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
3 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
5 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10% 1%
6 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
7 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
8 BUCKLEY Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
10 PIENTA Chris J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
11 BECKER Thomas 100% 100% 100% 96% 65% 17%
12 BROOKS Zachary B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 46% 8%
13 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 40% 7%
14 MITTAL Sanil 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
15 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
16 KIM Sebastian 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% - -
17 GREEN Zachary J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
18 CAMPBELL Alex 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
19 ELSTON Sophia 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
21 SCHRANK Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
22 BOGARD Matt J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 27%
23 ATKINSON Josiah 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
24 BERTRAND Matthew T. 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
25 ECKEL Anson J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
26 JOBE Connor 100% 98% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
27 FAGERHAUG Aubrey R. 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
28 MCDONNELL Michael 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
29 OCHS Bradley C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 8%
30 BARANOSKI Chloe 100% 93% 52% 14% 2% -
31 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 100% 97% 74% 29% 3% -
32 ZEHE Michele A. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
33 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
34 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 80% 37% 8% 1% - -
35 FLORIAN Alex M. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 KLINE R. Jay 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
37 KWOK Roland 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% -
38 JANYSKA Allen 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
39 RIVERA Ricky N. 100% 98% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
40 CACCAMO Nicholas 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% - -
41 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
42 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 90% 42% 8% 1% - -
43 LIEBER Adam 100% 87% 37% 8% 1% - -
44 MITKUS Marianne J. 100% 50% 11% 1% - - -
45 GRIFFIN Martha A. 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
46 HOORNSTRA David S. 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
47 GRIMA Stephen (Steve) M. 100% 93% 55% 14% 1% - -
48 DUTTON Kimberly (Kitty) 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
49 HOLT Kennedy 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.