Trick or Retreat RYC / RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 12:00 PM

New Jersey Convention and Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 14%
3 JIANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 7%
3 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
5 ZENG Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
6 GLUSHKOV David 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% < 1%
7 GAO Victor 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
8 FENG Shang 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
9 PAN Anthony 100% 97% 77% 40% 10% 1%
9 TESFAYE Elias 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
11 LI Morgan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
12 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
13 DEGRUCCIO Johnny 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
14 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
14 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 92% 56% 18% 3% -
16 NOOL Alexander 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
17 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
18 WU Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
19 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
20 LI Ryan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
21 STARKIE Kitteridge 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
22 KIM Henry 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
23 LONG Kevin 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
24 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
25 SONG Changze 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
26 LEE Henry 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6%
27 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8%
28 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2%
29 WANG Charles 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
30 NG Nico 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
31 FENG Xinmin 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
32 HAN Keyi 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
33 CHEN Tianjun 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
33 WANG Eric 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3%
35 MYERS Lewis 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
36 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
37 SHI Evan 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.