Event Preview
The Cascade Clash SYCSaturday, September 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 1450 | 1701 - 1239 |
| 5 - 8 | 1152 | 1299 - 891 |
| 9 - 13 | 1439 | 2500 - 839 |
| 1 | Horikawa, Xander | South Bay Fencing Academy | U | 1701 | 1339.98 |
| 2 | Jiao, Lawrence | Eagle Blade Fencers Club | U | 1564 | 1194.23 |
| 3 | Qiao, Jason | LA Fencing Academy of Pomona | U | 1298 | 992.08 |
| 4 | Lee, Caleb | ORO Fencing Club | U | 1239 | 903.30 |
| 5 | Yan, Kaysen | Southern California Fencing Academy (SOCALFA) | U | 1243 | 891.10 |
| 6 | Severt, David | ORO Fencing Club | U | 1174 | 809.51 |
| 7 | Xie, Ryan | Oregon Fencing Alliance | U | 1299 | 654.71 |
| 8 | Ma, Garrison | Unattached | U | 891 | 246.64 |
| 9 | Zou, Aaron | PDX Fencing | U | 1764 | 229.75 |
| 10 | Woo, Jonathan | Premier Fencing Academy | U | 1044 | 174.47 |
| 11 | Chen, Oliver | Oregon Fencing Alliance | U | 1047 | 89.10 |
| 12 | Lee, Shion | Oregon Fencing Alliance | U | 2500 | < 0 |
| 13 | Zhou, Ryan | Oregon Fencing Alliance | U | 839 | < 0 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.